Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:18:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9A
0x9a4c…1f30
sports · 280 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
+$117,658 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$110,440 · open +$7,218
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$39,111
Realized+$110,440
Unrealized+$7,218
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses152 / 121
Whale WR (big bets)61%
Est. fees paid−$23,182
Open positions7
Markets (closed)273 / 280
Avg bet$6,105
Trades / day66.2
Drawdown77%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 7 History 273 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$10,606
7 days−$1,645
14 days−$11,401
30 days+$80,042
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ 66¢ $7,440 $9,825 +$2,385 (+32%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ 100¢ $4,642 $9,254 +$4,612 (+99%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Over 51¢ 50¢ $8,150 $8,080 −$70 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 45¢ 44¢ $7,200 $7,120 −$80 (-1%)
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 55¢ 66¢ $2,936 $3,497 +$561 (+19%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $1,023 $1,051 +$28 (+3%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? No 22¢ 12¢ $502 $285 −$217 (-43%)
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 THUNDER dOWNUNDER 24¢ 0¢ $4,800 $0 −$4,800 (-100%)
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs LOS 52¢ 0¢ $6,530 $0 −$6,530 (-100%)
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner Deep Cross Gaming 35¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Natus Vincere 43¢ 0¢ $6,035 $0 −$6,035 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 TYLOO 46¢ 0¢ $5,202 $0 −$5,202 (-100%)
Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 3.5 Under 57¢ 0¢ $9,690 $0 −$9,690 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners Arizona Diamondbacks 43¢ 0¢ $4,300 $0 −$4,300 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 58¢ 0¢ $5,800 $0 −$5,800 (-100%)
Toronto Tempo vs. New York Liberty: O/U 173.5 Under 54¢ 0¢ $8,100 $0 −$8,100 (-100%)
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5) Atlanta Dream 53¢ 0¢ $7,950 $0 −$7,950 (-100%)
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Team Liquid 53¢ 0¢ $1,484 $0 −$1,484 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Dplus KIA 54¢ 0¢ $8,100 $0 −$8,100 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $11,310 $0 −$11,310 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs JD Gaming 24¢ 0¢ $4,800 $0 −$4,800 (-100%)
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Over 51¢ 0¢ $3,559 $0 −$3,559 (-100%)
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire: O/U 172.5 Under 53¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5 Under 56¢ 0¢ $2,570 $0 −$2,570 (-100%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-05? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $6,681 $0 −$6,681 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 12 $6,476 +$4,465 +69%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $11,159 +$7,841 +70%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $12,124 +$8,876 +73%
Alexis Vega: 2+ shots Jun 11 $4,794 −$4,794 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $7,319 +$8,681 +119%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $8,268 +$8,680 +105%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $3,812 −$3,796 -100%
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5) Jun 11 $7,950 −$7,950 -100%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire: O/U 172.5 Jun 11 $22 −$22 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,079 −$1,078 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $7,134 −$7,003 -98%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 Jun 11 $4,255 +$3,245 +76%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Jun 11 $6,241 +$5,159 +83%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $5,950 +$6,050 +102%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 Jun 11 $8,487 +$7,913 +93%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $3,611 −$3,559 -98%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 10 $11,343 −$11,155 -98%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $4,360 −$4,296 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 10 $6,764 −$6,650 -98%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $1,889 +$2,152 +114%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In Jun 10 $7,245 +$6,755 +93%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 10 $7,612 +$7,388 +97%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 10 $10,838 +$10,562 +97%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $3,235 +$6,565 +203%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $11,110 −$10,880 -98%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $8,004 −$7,875 -98%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $8,134 +$4,066 +50%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 09 $6,473 +$8,027 +124%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $7,878 +$11,622 +148%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 08 $6,591 −$6,530 -99%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $4,709 −$4,628 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 08 $13,723 +$1,277 +9%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $5,286 −$5,202 -98%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 08 $5,475 −$5,400 -99%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $4,939 −$4,833 -98%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $6,711 −$6,600 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $3,467 −$3,400 -98%
PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 177.5 Jun 08 $868 +$728 +84%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $4,489 +$5,711 +127%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 08 $7,178 +$8,345 +116%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 08 $8,637 +$8,363 +97%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $5,637 −$5,600 -99%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $6,280 +$6,094 +97%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5 Jun 07 $8,939 +$7,461 +84%
Spread: Cyprus (-1.5) Jun 07 $3,102 +$2,982 +96%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $3,441 +$5,009 +146%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $5,310 +$4,570 +86%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5 Jun 07 $4,126 −$4,071 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $5,873 −$5,800 -99%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 07 $8,176 +$7,324 +90%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 94% +$134,241
other 5% −$15,830
tech 0% −$217
crypto 0% −$330
politics 0% −$206
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $2,985 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ $4,712 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 45¢ $7,319 1h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 58¢ $523 11h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 58¢ $276 11h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 58¢ $2 11h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 58¢ $24 11h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 58¢ $174 11h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 58¢ $84 11h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 58¢ $174 11h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 58¢ $20 11h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 58¢ $3 11h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 58¢ $23 11h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 58¢ $116 11h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 58¢ $31 11h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 59¢ $807 11h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 59¢ $19 11h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 59¢ $71 11h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 59¢ $132 11h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 60¢ $104 11h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 60¢ $180 11h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 60¢ $180 11h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 60¢ $2 11h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 60¢ $452 11h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 60¢ $155 11h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 60¢ $129 11h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 59¢ $30 11h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 59¢ $120 11h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 59¢ $66 11h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 59¢ $321 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-4.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 70 -7.3% -16.1% 47% 46% -9.9%
≤30d 218 +4.8% -5.2% 54% 53% -4.1%
≤90d 273 +6.0% -4.1% 56% 55% -3.5%
all 273 +6.0% -4.1% 56% 55% -3.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover66.2 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.1% 55% -3.5%
10% -13.2% 53% -12.8%
15% ← realistic here -21.6% 50% -21.2%
20% -29.3% 45% -28.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $39,111.05 · official $34,986.05 · 3194 history records