trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 19 | -9.5% | -18.2% | 0% | 0% | -20.8% |
| ≤30d | 19 | -9.5% | -18.2% | 0% | 0% | -20.8% |
| ≤90d | 19 | -9.5% | -18.2% | 0% | 0% | -20.8% |
| all | 19 | -9.5% | -18.2% | 0% | 0% | -20.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -18.2% | 0% | -20.8% |
| 10% | -26.0% | 0% | -28.3% |
| 15% | -33.1% | 0% | -35.3% |
| 20% | -39.7% | 0% | -41.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 30? | Yes | 29¢ | 30¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on June 30? | Jun 29 | $4 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on June 30? | Jun 29 | $41 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 30? | Jun 28 | $46 | −$5 | -10% |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 30? | Jun 28 | $5 | $0 | -7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 29? | Jun 28 | $25 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 29? | Jun 28 | $37 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 29? | Jun 27 | $0 | $0 | -6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 29? | Jun 27 | $45 | −$9 | -21% |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 28? | Jun 27 | $46 | −$2 | -3% |
| Will Chaos Labs launch a token by September 30, 2027? | Jun 26 | $44 | −$13 | -29% |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026? | Jun 26 | $41 | −$10 | -24% |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 27? | Jun 25 | $3 | $0 | -4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 26? | Jun 25 | $3 | $0 | -14% |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 27? | Jun 25 | $41 | −$4 | -10% |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 27? | Jun 25 | $17 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 27? | Jun 25 | $24 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C on June 27? | Jun 25 | $5 | $0 | -4% |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on Ju | Jun 25 | $13 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 26? | Jun 25 | $47 | −$12 | -25% |