Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:27:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9A
0x9a5e…7c40
crypto · 282 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$71 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$64 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$64
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses70 / 211
Open positions1
Markets (closed)281 / 282
History coverage2d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day505.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 281 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$64
7 days−$64
14 days−$64
30 days−$64
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-98%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$14 +252%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$11 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$14 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$13 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$14 +212%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$12 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$14 +203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$13 +198%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$19 +376%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$14 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$18 +525%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$10 +212%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$19 +270%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$14 +233%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$71
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $7 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $4 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $7 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $14 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $0 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $4 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $6 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-13.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 281 -4.8% -13.9% 25% 25% -12.7%
≤30d 281 -4.8% -13.9% 25% 25% -12.7%
≤90d 281 -4.8% -13.9% 25% 25% -12.7%
all 281 -4.8% -13.9% 25% 25% -12.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover505.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.9% 25% -12.7%
10% ← realistic here -22.1% 25% -21.1%
15% -29.6% 24% -28.7%
20% -36.5% 24% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.11 · official $0.11 (match) · 1151 history records