Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:27:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9A
0x9a60…a744
sports · 28 markets active 0h ago
4.0score
+$109 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$207 · open −$81
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$94
Realized+$207
Unrealized−$81
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses16 / 9
Est. fees paid−$29
Open positions3
Markets (closed)25 / 28
History coverage2d
Avg bet$138
Trades / day22.7
Drawdown98%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 3 History 25 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$173
7 days+$207
14 days+$207
30 days+$207
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 67¢ 64¢ $50 $48 −$2 (-4%)
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffs Infinite 65¢ 59¢ $50 $45 −$5 (-9%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 67¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Gen.G 45¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Team WE 29¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 83¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 20¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ $468 $0 −$468 (-100%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $51 +$33 +65%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $152 −$20 -13%
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $51 +$31 +61%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $51 +$58 +114%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $84 +$39 +47%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $102 −$100 -98%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $102 +$154 +152%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $474 −$468 -99%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $402 +$63 +16%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $262 +$149 +57%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $51 −$50 -98%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $101 −$100 -99%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $101 −$100 -100%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $21 −$20 -97%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $194 +$64 +33%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $102 +$177 +173%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $51 +$105 +206%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $102 +$137 +134%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $153 −$150 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $292 +$15 +5%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $287 +$6 +2%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $140 +$147 +105%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 13 $99 +$41 +42%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $37 −$36 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $140 +$34 +24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 69% +$605
other 31% −$478
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Ser BUY Infinite 65¢ $51 8m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 67¢ $50 11m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 99¢ $83 36m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 59¢ $51 57m
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 99¢ $71 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 67¢ $25 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL TheMongolz 33¢ $26 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 67¢ $50 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 70¢ $50 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 30¢ $26 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 63¢ $51 2h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 57¢ $51 2h
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner SELL HOTU 100¢ $81 2h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 43¢ $35 2h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 37¢ $31 2h
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner BUY HOTU 61¢ $51 3h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 59¢ $51 3h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $109 3h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 60¢ $51 3h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 46¢ $51 5h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL Gen.G 99¢ $123 6h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 67¢ $84 6h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 45¢ $102 7h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 100¢ $256 8h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 39¢ $102 8h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $474 12h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 86¢ $402 13h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 100¢ $411 13h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $262 16h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $51 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)+5.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 +16.8% +5.7% 64% 56% -4.3%
≤30d 25 +16.8% +5.7% 64% 56% -4.3%
≤90d 25 +16.8% +5.7% 64% 56% -4.3%
all 25 +16.8% +5.7% 64% 56% -4.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +5.7% 56% -4.3%
10% ← realistic here -4.4% 52% -13.5%
15% -13.6% 44% -21.8%
20% -22.1% 36% -29.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $93.67 · official $93.67 (match) · 59 history records