Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T09:51:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.5
score
9A 0x9a6c…07d0 crypto 55 markets active 1h ago coverage 552d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$9 (-0%) realized −$9 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -12% what you keep after slip
Net edge-12%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate76%41W / 13L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$118per market
Trades / day0.1pace
Kalshi-fit95%portable
Net worth$52now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 86% −$6
crypto 10% $0
tech 2% +$1
politics 1% −$1
sports 1% −$4
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 2 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 6 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
all 54 -2.5% -11.8% 76% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.8% 0% -9.7%
10% -20.2% 0% -18.3%
15% -27.9% 0% -26.2%
20% -35.0% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 27% · top 2 36% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% too few recent
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.05 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.15 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

552d coverage
Net worth$52
Realized−$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses41 / 13
Open positions1
Markets (closed)54 / 55
History coverage552d
Avg bet$118
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 54 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June? No 100¢ 100¢ $52 $52 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May? Jun 02 $17 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May? Jun 02 $35 $0 +0%
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April? May 04 $25 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April? May 04 $25 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in March? Apr 02 $7 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $2.40 in March? Apr 02 $46 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $3.40 in February? Mar 03 $11 $0 +0%
Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in February? Mar 03 $12 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $3.00 in February? Mar 03 $35 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January? Feb 02 $7 $0 +0%
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? Feb 02 $21 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in January? Feb 02 $25 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025? Jan 01 $18 $0 +0%
XRP all time high by December 31? Jan 01 $33 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $260 in November? Dec 03 $38 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October? Nov 03 $8 $0 +0%
Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31? Nov 03 $16 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $270 in October? Nov 03 $30 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $130 in September? Oct 03 $17 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September? Oct 03 $29 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $155 in August? Sep 02 $5 $0 +0%
Will XRP dip to $1.50 in August? Sep 02 $12 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $5.00 in August? Sep 02 $36 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in July? Aug 02 $9 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $140K in July? Aug 02 $17 $0 +0%
Will XRP dip to $1.7 in July? Aug 02 $27 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $200 in June? Jul 02 $16 $0 +0%
Celtics vs. Spurs Jun 03 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Solana reach $250 in May? Jun 03 $5 $0 +0%
XRP all time high in May? Jun 03 $7 $0 +0%
Will Dogecoin reach $0.50 in May? Jun 03 $10 $0 +0%
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.09 in April? May 05 $3 $0 +0%
Will Trump audit Ukraine aid before May? May 05 $3 $0 +0%
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May? May 05 $3 $0 +1%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ap May 05 $4 $0 +0%
TikTok sale announced before May? May 05 $5 $0 +1%
Will TikTok be banned again before May? May 05 $14 $0 +1%
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2025? Apr 13 $5,530 −$6 -0%
Will Solana dip to $80 in March? Apr 02 $4 $0 +0%
Solana all time high by March 31? Apr 02 $4 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by March 31? Apr 02 $10 $0 +1%
Will HNP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the Mar 18 $30 $0 -0%
Will Justin Trudeau be the next Canadian Prime Minister? Mar 17 $16 $0 -0%
Will Kelvin Banks Jr. be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft? Mar 14 $32 $0 -0%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Febru Mar 06 $26 $0 +2%
Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election? Feb 22 $15 $0 -0%
Will another model be the top AI model on January 31? Feb 17 $17 $0 +0%
Will Valencia CF win La Liga? Jan 22 $5 −$2 -33%
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League? Jan 04 $29 $0 -1%
Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first? Jan 04 $48 −$1 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June? BUY No 100¢ $52 1h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May? BUY No 100¢ $17 29d
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May? BUY No 100¢ $35 30d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April? BUY No 100¢ $25 61d
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April? BUY No 100¢ $25 62d
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in March? BUY No 100¢ $7 92d
Will XRP reach $2.40 in March? BUY No 100¢ $46 92d
Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in February? BUY No 100¢ $12 120d
Will XRP reach $3.40 in February? BUY No 100¢ $11 121d
Will XRP reach $3.00 in February? BUY No 100¢ $35 122d
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January? BUY No 100¢ $7 149d
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? BUY No 100¢ $21 150d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in January? BUY No 100¢ $25 150d
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025? BUY No 100¢ $18 181d
XRP all time high by December 31? BUY No 100¢ $33 183d
Will Solana reach $260 in November? BUY No 100¢ $38 212d
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October? BUY No 100¢ $8 240d
Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31? BUY Yes 100¢ $16 241d
Will Solana reach $270 in October? BUY No 100¢ $30 243d
Will Solana dip to $130 in September? BUY No 100¢ $17 272d
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September? BUY No 100¢ $29 274d
Will Solana dip to $155 in August? BUY No 100¢ $5 302d
Will XRP dip to $1.50 in August? BUY No 100¢ $12 302d
Will XRP reach $5.00 in August? BUY No 100¢ $36 302d
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in July? BUY No 100¢ $9 332d
Will Bitcoin reach $140K in July? BUY No 100¢ $17 332d
Will XRP dip to $1.7 in July? BUY No 100¢ $27 334d
Will Solana reach $200 in June? BUY No 100¢ $16 366d
Will Dogecoin reach $0.50 in May? BUY No 100¢ $10 393d
Will Solana reach $250 in May? BUY No 100¢ $5 393d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $52.01 · official $52.01 (match) · 112 history records