Wallet analysis

2026-06-21T06:07:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9A 0x9a73…1c47 crypto 135 markets active 1h ago coverage 24d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 24d only
✗ bot/MM pace (139 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$759 (-6%) realized −$801 · open +$42
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR6%break-even
Win rate34%45W / 89L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$92per market
Trades / day139.3pace
Fees−$4est.
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$89now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$4
14 days+$4
30 days−$421
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% −$428
sports 3% +$48
other 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (139 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-12.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -10.0% -18.6% 50% 25% -8.0%
≤30d 134 -3.7% -12.9% 34% 6% -12.6%
≤90d 134 -3.7% -12.9% 34% 6% -12.6%
all 134 -3.7% -12.9% 34% 6% -12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover139.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.9% 6% -12.6%
10% ← realistic here -21.2% 1% -21.0%
15% -28.8% 1% -28.6%
20% -35.8% 1% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 28% · top 2 46% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
80% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
24.8 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$7 · ×0.71 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.36 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

24d coverage
Net worth$89
Realized−$801
Unrealized+$42
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses45 / 89
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions1
Markets (closed)134 / 135
History coverage24d ⚠
Avg bet$92
Trades / day139.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 134 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Japan (-2.5) Japan 53¢ 100¢ $47 $89 +$42 (+89%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 21 $50 +$4 +8%
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers Jun 20 $48 +$43 +89%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playo Jun 20 $51 +$65 +127%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Jun 20 $48 −$48 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner Jun 20 $49 −$49 -100%
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 20 $5 $0 -4%
Will Qatar reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 20 $7 $0 +1%
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider Jun 20 $9 −$9 -100%
ITF Banja Luka: Sara Mikaca vs Stela Dzimovic Jun 05 $3 $0 +2%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 04 $6 $0 +6%
Birmingham: Tristan Schoolkate vs Arthur Fery Jun 02 $5 +$1 +18%
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $5 $0 +8%
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $10 +$1 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET May 28 $152 +$9 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET May 28 $61 −$1 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET May 28 $34 +$5 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET May 28 $42 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET May 28 $22 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET May 28 $79 −$6 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET May 28 $89 −$39 -44%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET May 28 $151 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET May 28 $56 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET May 28 $85 −$10 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET May 28 $92 −$3 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET May 28 $95 −$5 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET May 28 $70 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET May 28 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET May 28 $62 −$7 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET May 28 $91 −$1 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET May 28 $82 −$6 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET May 28 $77 +$8 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET May 28 $118 +$7 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET May 28 $102 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET May 28 $49 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET May 28 $63 −$3 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET May 28 $88 +$8 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET May 28 $120 −$19 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET May 28 $73 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET May 28 $35 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET May 28 $38 +$4 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET May 28 $123 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET May 28 $79 −$4 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET May 28 $50 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET May 28 $71 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET May 28 $16 −$6 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET May 28 $65 +$5 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET May 28 $94 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET May 28 $76 −$16 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET May 28 $103 −$18 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET May 28 $105 +$5 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Japan (-2.5) BUY Japan 53¢ $48 1h
Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks SELL Minnesota Twins 93¢ $17 2h
Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks BUY Minnesota Twins 90¢ $50 2h
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers BUY San Diego Padres 52¢ $48 8h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playo SELL Team Falcons 100¢ $116 8h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playo BUY Team Falcons 62¢ $3 11h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playo BUY Team Falcons 42¢ $48 14h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 47¢ $49 16h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London BUY EDward Gaming 33¢ $48 17h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 88¢ $5 17h
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $5 17h
Will Qatar reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $7 17h
Will Qatar reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 97¢ $7 14d
ITF Banja Luka: Sara Mikaca vs Stela Dzimovic BUY Sara Mikaca 98¢ $3 15d
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva BUY Mirra Andreeva 94¢ $6 16d
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider BUY Aryna Sabalenka 91¢ $9 17d
Birmingham: Tristan Schoolkate vs Arthur Fery BUY Arthur Fery 84¢ $5 18d
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 91¢ $5 19d
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-05-31? BUY No 92¢ $5 20d
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 90¢ $10 21d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 23d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 23d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 23d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 23d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 23d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 23d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 23d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 23d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 23d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 23d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $89.24 · official $89.24 (match) · 3500 history records