Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:00:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9A
0x9a75…74ce
crypto · 122 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$69 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$69 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized+$69
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses110 / 8
Open positions4
Markets (closed)118 / 122
History coverage651d
Avg bet$190
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown11%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 4 History 118 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June? No 87¢ 86¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-1%)
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? No 100¢ 100¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-0%)
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? No 98¢ 98¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 13? Jun 14 $118 $0 +0%
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? Jun 08 $4 $0 +1%
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in May? Jun 08 $6 $0 +8%
Will BNB reach $1,000 in May? Jun 08 $7 $0 +0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May? May 30 $4 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 12? May 30 $162 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April? May 04 $3 $0 +0%
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market ca May 04 $4 $0 +0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 m Apr 30 $4 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 29? Apr 30 $166 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 28? Apr 28 $168 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on April 24? Apr 27 $161 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on April 22? Apr 23 $167 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 19? Apr 20 $172 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 16? Apr 18 $173 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 13? Apr 15 $167 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 11? Apr 12 $167 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on April 7? Apr 08 $177 $0 +0%
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? Apr 03 $6 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,600 on April 1? Apr 03 $163 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 30? Mar 31 $162 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 27? Mar 29 $167 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 25? Mar 26 $165 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 22? Mar 23 $166 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,600 on March 20? Mar 21 $163 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 17? Mar 19 $172 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on March 16? Mar 17 $173 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $82,000 on March 11? Mar 14 $168 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on March 9? Mar 10 $169 +$2 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on March 7? Mar 08 $166 $0 +0%
Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people? Mar 07 $3 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,400 on March 1? Mar 07 $165 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 27? Feb 28 $163 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 26? Feb 27 $163 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 24? Feb 25 $168 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 22? Feb 23 $168 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on February 2 Feb 21 $169 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 17? Feb 19 $167 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 15? Feb 16 $163 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 13? Feb 14 $163 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 11? Feb 12 $168 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on February 9 Feb 09 $168 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 7? Feb 08 $164 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on February 3? Feb 05 $166 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on February 1 Feb 02 $160 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January? Feb 01 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 30? Jan 31 $160 $0 +0%
Will Hyperliquid hit $34 in January? Jan 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 28? Jan 28 $165 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,600 and $3,700 on January 26? Jan 27 $167 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 61% +$50
crypto 39% +$8
other 0% +$6
economics 0% $0
finance 0% +$4
world 0% +$1
sports 0% $0
tech 0% $0
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY No 98¢ $2 1h
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $2 1h
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June? BUY No 87¢ $7 1h
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? BUY No 100¢ $4 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $118 46h
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? BUY No 99¢ $4 30d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 12? BUY No 100¢ $162 34d
Will BNB reach $1,000 in May? BUY No 100¢ $7 40d
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in May? BUY No 93¢ $6 40d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May? BUY No 98¢ $4 40d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 29? BUY No 100¢ $166 46d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 28? BUY Yes 100¢ $168 47d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on April 24? BUY No 100¢ $161 51d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on April 22? BUY No 100¢ $167 53d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 m BUY No 100¢ $4 55d
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April? BUY No 100¢ $3 55d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 19? BUY No 100¢ $172 56d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 16? BUY No 100¢ $173 59d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 13? BUY Yes 100¢ $167 61d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 11? BUY Yes 100¢ $167 65d
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market ca BUY No 100¢ $4 68d
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on April 7? BUY No 100¢ $177 69d
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,600 on April 1? BUY No 100¢ $163 75d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 30? BUY No 100¢ $162 77d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 27? BUY Yes 100¢ $167 79d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 25? BUY No 100¢ $165 82d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 22? BUY No 100¢ $166 84d
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,600 on March 20? BUY No 100¢ $163 86d
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? BUY No 99¢ $6 88d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 17? BUY No 100¢ $172 89d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +2.2% -7.5% 100% 0% -9.1%
≤30d 6 +1.8% -7.9% 100% 0% -9.3%
≤90d 27 +0.5% -9.0% 100% 0% -9.4%
all 118 +0.0% -9.5% 93% 17% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.5% 17% -9.3%
10% -18.2% 9% -17.9%
15% -26.1% 5% -25.9%
20% -33.3% 3% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15.30 · official $15.30 (match) · 365 history records