trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -55.3% | -59.6% | 20% | 20% | -64.4% |
| ≤30d | 15 | -15.1% | -23.2% | 53% | 53% | -30.2% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -12.3% | -20.7% | 59% | 55% | -16.1% |
| all | 22 | -12.3% | -20.7% | 59% | 55% | -16.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.7% | 55% | -16.1% |
| 10% | -28.3% | 36% | -24.2% |
| 15% | -35.2% | 18% | -31.5% |
| 20% | -41.5% | 9% | -38.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | No | 63¢ | 60¢ | $1,600 | $1,523 | −$77 (-5%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026? | Jun 18 | $633 | −$84 | -13% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June? | Jun 15 | $404 | +$94 | +23% |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | Jun 15 | $500 | −$471 | -94% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $1,030 | −$1,030 | -100% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 12 | $206 | −$190 | -92% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | Jun 09 | $400 | −$140 | -35% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 08 | $509 | +$201 | +39% |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? | Jun 04 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $330 | +$45 | +14% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | Jun 01 | $200 | +$54 | +27% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? | May 30 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? | May 30 | $504 | +$111 | +22% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | May 30 | $305 | +$221 | +72% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | May 25 | $100 | +$96 | +96% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | May 23 | $200 | +$31 | +15% |
| Will Lucas Paquetá be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squ | May 19 | $101 | +$26 | +26% |
| Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? | May 11 | $41 | −$40 | -96% |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap | May 01 | $1,293 | +$436 | +34% |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on | Apr 14 | $313 | −$232 | -74% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | Apr 14 | $1,097 | +$114 | +10% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Apr 02 | $922 | +$175 | +19% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March? | Apr 01 | $223 | +$90 | +40% |