Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:58:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9A
0x9a88…ded1
crypto · 693 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$3,715 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,714 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,369
Realized−$3,714
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses301 / 438
Est. fees paid−$22
Open positions15
Markets (closed)739 / 693
History coverage115d
Avg bet$107
Trades / day27.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 15 History 739 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,967
7 days−$4,819
14 days−$5,211
30 days−$5,351
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup? Yes 99¢ 99¢ $500 $501 +$1 (+0%)
WIll Lamine Yamal play in the World Cup? Yes 99¢ 99¢ $500 $499 −$1 (-0%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 91¢ 90¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-1%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 90¢ 90¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-1%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 65¢ 64¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-1%)
Will Kylian Mbappe score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 95¢ 94¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-2%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 68¢ 69¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+2%)
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 32¢ 32¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+2%)
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Under 82¢ 82¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 72¢ 72¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 6AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 6PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 12PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 2PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 14, 11PM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4PM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 15, 2PM ET Jun 13 $91 −$91 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 14, 2PM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 14, 8PM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 16, 9AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 13, 1PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 17, 4AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 15, 8AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 13, 12PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 14, 2PM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 10AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 13, 11AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 9PM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9PM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 14, 5PM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 13, 11AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 6AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 16, 4PM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 15, 7AM ET Jun 13 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5PM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1PM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 10PM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 15, 5AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 13, 5AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 15, 8AM ET Jun 13 $200 −$200 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 14, 4AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 14, 3AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2PM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 4AM ET Jun 13 $200 −$200 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 14, 7PM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 17, 4PM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 13, 11AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 17, 12PM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 15, 5PM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 15, 1PM ET Jun 13 $200 −$200 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 17, 5AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 15, 1PM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 13, 9AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 14, 11AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 15, 6AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% +$1,998
sports 3% −$490
other 2% +$92
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 82¢ $20 43m
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $21 44m
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 64¢ $20 1h
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 72¢ $20 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 BUY Yes 68¢ $20 1h
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 63¢ $20 1h
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 32¢ $20 1h
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 54¢ $20 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 77¢ $20 3h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 91¢ $50 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 90¢ $50 3h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 65¢ $51 4h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 AND Will United States win on 2026 BUY 37¢ $10 7h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 66¢ $40 8h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 21¢ $10 17h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 14¢ $10 17h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 11¢ $10 17h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 53¢ $19 17h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 5¢ $1 18h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 3¢ $1 18h
Will Kylian Mbappe score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 95¢ $50 18h
WIll Lamine Yamal play in the World Cup? BUY Yes 99¢ $500 18h
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup? BUY Yes 99¢ $500 18h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 28¢ $13 18h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 46¢ $34 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $200 19h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 4¢ $10 20h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $20 20h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $20 20h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 26¢ $20 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-14.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 165 -37.5% -43.5% 30% 28% -55.3%
≤30d 280 -23.4% -30.7% 35% 34% -28.8%
≤90d 522 -9.7% -18.3% 39% 39% -16.2%
all 739 -5.1% -14.2% 41% 40% -13.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.2% 40% -13.8%
10% ← realistic here -22.4% 40% -22.1%
15% -29.9% 39% -29.6%
20% -36.7% 39% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,369.16 · official $1,368.57 (match) · 3500 history records