trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 58¢ | 58¢ | $300 | $303 | +$3 (+1%) |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score | No | 63¢ | 62¢ | $70 | $69 | −$1 (-1%) |
| South Africa to score first vs. Mexico? | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | $12 | $0 | −$12 (-100%) |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score in First Half | Yes | 17¢ | 0¢ | $9 | $0 | −$9 (-100%) |
| South Africa leading at halftime? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $12 | $0 | −$12 (-100%) |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score in First Half | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $15 | $0 | −$15 (-100%) |
| Korea Republic leading at halftime? | Yes | 29¢ | 0¢ | $15 | $0 | −$15 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $102 | +$111 | +109% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $19 | +$32 | +165% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score in First Half | Jun 11 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score in First Half | Jun 11 | $9 | −$9 | -98% |
| Korea Republic leading at halftime? | Jun 11 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| South Africa leading at halftime? | Jun 11 | $12 | −$12 | -97% |
| South Africa to score first vs. Mexico? | Jun 11 | $12 | −$12 | -98% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score | BUY No | 63¢ | $71 | 1h |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY Yes | 58¢ | $304 | 1h |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | SELL Yes | 100¢ | $213 | 1h |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY Yes | 47¢ | $102 | 13h |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | SELL Yes | 100¢ | $51 | 24h |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score in First Half | BUY Yes | 14¢ | $15 | 35h |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score in First Half | BUY Yes | 17¢ | $9 | 35h |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | BUY Yes | 37¢ | $19 | 35h |
| Korea Republic leading at halftime? | BUY Yes | 29¢ | $15 | 35h |
| South Africa leading at halftime? | BUY Yes | 11¢ | $12 | 36h |
| South Africa to score first vs. Mexico? | BUY Yes | 23¢ | $12 | 36h |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -32.3% | -38.7% | 29% | 29% | +29.8% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -32.3% | -38.7% | 29% | 29% | +29.8% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -32.3% | -38.7% | 29% | 29% | +29.8% |
| all | 7 | -32.3% | -38.7% | 29% | 29% | +29.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -38.7% | 29% | +29.8% |
| 10% | -44.6% | 29% | +17.4% |
| 15% | -49.9% | 29% | +6.0% |
| 20% | -54.8% | 29% | -4.4% |