Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:28:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9A
0x9aa1…0193
other · 439 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$56 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$56 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$56
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses238 / 201
Est. fees paid−$38
Open positions0
Markets (closed)439 / 439
History coverage148d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day7.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit47%
Chart Positions 0 History 439 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$37
7 days+$44
14 days−$28
30 days+$34
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5 Over 62¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03? Yes 61¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Clube do Remo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5 Over 72¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5 Over 63¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
SE Palmeiras vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 1.5 Over 73¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 1.5 Over 64¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 77¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5 Over 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? No 33¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Guatemala vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Under 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Georgia vs. Romania: O/U 2.5 Over 58¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 2.5 Over 46¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
CD Palestino vs. Audax CS Italiano: O/U 1.5 Over 49¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Huracán: O/U 0.5 Over 70¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5 Over 73¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25? Yes 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? No 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
CD Palestino vs. Audax CS Italiano: O/U 0.5 Over 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 0.5 Over 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 Over 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Columbus Crew vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 2.5 Over 61¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $43 +$13 +31%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $10 +$5 +52%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $13 +$9 +71%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $18 +$5 +26%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $5 +$2 +42%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $13 +$3 +23%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $5 +$1 +33%
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5 Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $10 −$10 -99%
Liberia vs. Sierra Leone: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $2 +$1 +63%
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $6 +$2 +40%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $2 +$2 +114%
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $5 +$3 +57%
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $5 +$2 +42%
Atlético Nacional vs. CDPJuniorFC: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $5 +$1 +21%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $2 +$1 +40%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $4 $0 +10%
Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $2 −$1 -99%
Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5 Jun 07 $2 $0 +2%
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 1.5 Jun 07 $2 +$1 +38%
Morocco vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score Jun 07 $3 +$1 +26%
Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 1.5 Jun 07 $2 $0 +5%
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 4.5 Jun 07 $3 −$2 -78%
Ōita Trinita vs. Montedio Yamagata: O/U 0.5 Jun 07 $2 +$1 +36%
Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 1.5 Jun 07 $2 $0 +23%
Venezuela vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $3 +$1 +21%
Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 1.5 Jun 07 $3 $0 +20%
England vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $3 −$2 -78%
Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 1.5 Jun 06 $3 +$1 +26%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $2 +$2 +92%
Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $3 −$2 -60%
Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5 Jun 06 $3 $0 +12%
Russia vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $2 +$1 +36%
Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 1.5 Jun 06 $4 +$1 +20%
FC Tōkyō vs. Cerezo Ōsaka: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $3 +$2 +76%
Canada vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 1.5 Jun 06 $4 +$1 +36%
Georgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 2.5 Jun 05 $2 $0 +32%
Guatemala vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 05 $1 −$1 -98%
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5 Jun 04 $4 +$1 +15%
Andorra vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 0.5 Jun 04 $3 +$1 +40%
Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 1.5 Jun 04 $3 +$1 +20%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $3 $0 -4%
Cambodia vs. Bhutan: O/U 4.5 Jun 04 $3 +$1 +20%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $8 −$1 -15%
Will Italy win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $5 +$1 +32%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $10 −$10 -99%
CDPJuniorFC vs. Atlético Nacional: O/U 2.5 Jun 03 $11 +$2 +23%
Haiti vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5 Jun 03 $3 $0 -4%
Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5 Jun 02 $2 +$1 +47%
Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5 Jun 02 $5 −$3 -56%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 74% −$49
sports 26% −$5
finance 0% +$1
crypto 0% −$2
weather 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 99¢ $0 39m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 99¢ $9 43m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 63¢ $6 56m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 89¢ $2 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 90¢ $45 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 70¢ $37 2h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $0 17h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 99¢ $0 17h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $15 17h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 99¢ $21 17h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 65¢ $10 18h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 57¢ $13 19h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 79¢ $18 25h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 69¢ $7 44h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 47¢ $5 44h
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 99¢ $0 47h
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 99¢ $15 2d
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 80¢ $13 2d
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 99¢ $6 2d
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 74¢ $5 2d
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 16¢ $1 2d
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 63¢ $10 2d
Liberia vs. Sierra Leone: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 99¢ $2 3d
Liberia vs. Sierra Leone: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 60¢ $2 3d
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 26¢ $0 3d
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 50¢ $8 3d
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 34¢ $6 3d
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? SELL Yes 99¢ $4 3d
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 45¢ $2 3d
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 75¢ $0 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-6.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 +16.5% +5.4% 83% 75% +12.3%
≤30d 140 +23.1% +11.3% 64% 60% -1.3%
≤90d 328 +5.4% -4.6% 57% 46% -9.1%
all 439 +3.1% -6.7% 54% 42% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.7% 42% -9.2%
10% -15.6% 29% -17.9%
15% -23.8% 20% -25.8%
20% -31.3% 11% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1173 history records