trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -16.3% | -24.3% | 67% | 11% | -10.7% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -18.3% | -26.1% | 62% | 8% | -12.7% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -18.3% | -26.1% | 62% | 8% | -12.7% |
| all | 13 | -18.3% | -26.1% | 62% | 8% | -12.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -26.1% | 8% | -12.7% |
| 10% | -33.2% | 8% | -21.0% |
| 15% | -39.6% | 8% | -28.7% |
| 20% | -45.5% | 0% | -35.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 87¢ | 86¢ | $35 | $34 | −$1 (-2%) |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 26? | Up | 50¢ | 24¢ | $15 | $7 | −$8 (-51%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June | Jun 26 | $40 | +$1 | +2% |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 25? | Jun 25 | $9 | +$1 | +7% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 25? | Jun 25 | $20 | $0 | +1% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on | Jun 23 | $40 | $0 | +1% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last tra | Jun 22 | $47 | +$2 | +4% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $5 | +$2 | +48% |
| Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30? | Jun 19 | $7 | −$1 | -9% |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | Jun 18 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $5 | $0 | +5% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | Jun 18 | $5 | $0 | +4% |