Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:02:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9A
0x9ad6…4251
sports · 494 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$4,796 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,763 · open +$32
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$68,738
Realized+$4,763
Unrealized+$32
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses490 / 3
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$21
Open positions3
Markets (closed)493 / 494
History coverage5d
Avg bet$2,369
Trades / day613.9
Drawdown20%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 3 History 493 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,895
7 days+$4,763
14 days+$4,763
30 days+$4,763
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $67,775 $67,809 +$34 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $505 $510 +$5 (+1%)
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 3.5 Under 100¢ 100¢ $395 $393 −$1 (-0%)
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: Both Teams to Score No 100¢ 100¢ $26 $26 −$0 (-0%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $238 $0 −$238 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $434 $0 −$434 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $2,036 +$21 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $8,910 +$90 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $506 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $7,218 +$72 +1%
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5 Jun 14 $33 $0 +0%
Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5) Jun 14 $54 $0 +0%
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 170.5 Jun 14 $20 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $2,810 +$3 +0%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Jun 14 $2,207 +$2 +0%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $18,719 +$19 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $11,880 +$120 +1%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $6 $0 +0%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $1,156 +$1 +0%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $376 +$4 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $70 +$1 +1%
CSD Colo-Colo vs. CD Cobresal: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $53 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $5,620 +$57 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $947 +$10 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $690 +$8 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $271 +$3 +1%
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff Jun 13 $101 $0 +0%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $622 +$1 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $715 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $418 +$4 +1%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $62,718 +$63 +0%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $2 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $88 +$1 +1%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Jun 13 $8 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $800 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $2,642 +$35 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $11,880 +$120 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $4,411 +$45 +1%
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Jun 13 $387 $0 +0%
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty League Jun 13 $1,765 +$2 +0%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $19,646 +$20 +0%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $4,816 +$5 +0%
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona Jun 13 $2,299 +$2 +0%
Will CD Palestino win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $29 $0 +0%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 13 $2,309 +$2 +0%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson Jun 13 $2,747 +$3 +0%
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs Jun 13 $346 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $113 +$1 +1%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $1,344 +$1 +0%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $2,909 +$3 +0%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $3,577 +$4 +0%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $2,144 +$2 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 59% +$652
crypto 28% +$3,914
other 14% +$229
politics 0% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $495 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $13 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $70 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $17 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $495 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $35 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $704 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $40 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $11 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $47 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $144 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $297 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4,770 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $14 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,382 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $556 22m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 493 +0.5% -9.1% 99% 1% -9.1%
≤30d 493 +0.5% -9.1% 99% 1% -9.1%
≤90d 493 +0.5% -9.1% 99% 1% -9.1%
all 493 +0.5% -9.1% 99% 1% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover613.9 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.1% 1% -9.1%
10% -17.8% 1% -17.8%
15% ← realistic here -25.7% 0% -25.8%
20% -33.0% 0% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $68,737.77 · official $68,737.77 (match) · 3500 history records