Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:02:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9A
0x9ad7…cdb2
crypto · 510 markets active 5h ago
0.0score
−$4 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses505 / 5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)510 / 510
History coverage63d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day8.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 510 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 99¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 100¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - April 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 99¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 99¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 97¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 12AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5AM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 6PM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 5PM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 5PM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 8AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 04 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 04 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2AM ET Jun 04 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 04 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 04 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 04 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 03 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 1PM ET Jun 03 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9AM ET Jun 03 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 02 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 01 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 01 $2 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - May 31, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3PM ET May 28 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET May 28 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 9AM ET May 22 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET May 21 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET May 19 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET May 19 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET May 18 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET May 18 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET May 18 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET May 18 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET May 15 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET May 14 $2 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$2
other 4% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 5h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 12AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 6PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 5PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 5PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 8AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 7d
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 7d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 +1.0% -8.6% 100% 5% -8.6%
≤30d 62 +0.6% -9.0% 100% 2% -9.0%
≤90d 510 -0.5% -9.9% 99% 0% -9.9%
all 510 -0.5% -9.9% 99% 0% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.9% 0% -9.9%
10% -18.6% 0% -18.5%
15% -26.4% 0% -26.4%
20% -33.6% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1015 history records