Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T18:02:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9A 0x9ae2…ea05 crypto 1055 markets active 0h ago coverage 84d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$155 (+0%) realized +$155 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR25%break-even
Win rate79%830W / 225L
Whale WR71%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$42per market
Trades / day24.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$603
7 days−$597
14 days−$540
30 days−$861
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,190
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-13.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 -1.0% -10.4% 79% 54% -14.5%
≤30d 226 -2.3% -11.6% 68% 39% -14.4%
≤90d 1055 -4.2% -13.4% 79% 25% -12.0%
all 1055 -4.2% -13.4% 79% 25% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover24.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.4% 25% -12.0%
10% ← realistic here -21.6% 10% -20.4%
15% -29.2% 4% -28.1%
20% -36.2% 3% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
67% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 71% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -2% → late -7% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$25 · ×0.21 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.79 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

84d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$155
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses830 / 225
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1055 / 1055
History coverage84d
Avg bet$42
Trades / day24.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1055 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 25 $252 +$23 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 25 $256 −$256 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 25 $255 +$63 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 25 $252 +$21 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 25 $252 +$27 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 25 $252 +$24 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 25 $508 −$508 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 25 $103 +$54 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 25 $256 +$115 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 25 $516 −$516 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 25 $512 −$512 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 25 $510 +$189 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 25 $321 +$33 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 25 $504 +$49 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 25 $513 +$263 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 25 $503 +$34 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 25 $512 −$354 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 25 $495 +$143 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 25 $512 +$246 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 25 $509 +$157 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 25 $509 +$101 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 25 $510 −$464 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 25 $512 +$209 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 25 $506 +$83 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 25 $509 +$89 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 25 $251 +$15 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 25 $254 +$71 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 21 $26 +$6 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 15 $25 +$6 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 15 $26 +$10 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $26 +$9 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 15 $26 +$16 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $26 +$12 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 02 $23 −$4 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 02 $50 −$28 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 02 $25 −$10 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 02 $50 −$8 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 02 $30 −$5 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 02 $50 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 02 $30 −$7 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 02 $50 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 02 $30 −$10 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 02 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 02 $30 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 02 $30 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 02 $50 +$7 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 02 $30 −$8 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 02 $25 −$1 -4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $275 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $252 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $318 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $255 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $273 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $252 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $279 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $252 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $277 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $252 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $157 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $103 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $256 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $371 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $256 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $508 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $699 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $510 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $516 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $353 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $321 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $554 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $504 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $777 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $513 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $512 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $537 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $503 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $637 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $495 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2784 history records