Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T18:52:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
9A 0x9ae5…6887 crypto 46 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (72 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable
Total PnL +$674 (+24%) realized +$674 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +26% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -3% what you keep after slip
Net edge-3%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate50%23W / 23L
Drawdown71%max
Avg bet$60per market
Trades / day72.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$539
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (72 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+14.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 46 +26.1% +14.1% 50% 50% +9.4%
≤30d 46 +26.1% +14.1% 50% 50% +9.4%
≤90d 46 +26.1% +14.1% 50% 50% +9.4%
all 46 +26.1% +14.1% 50% 50% +9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover72.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +14.1% 50% +9.4%
10% ← realistic here +3.2% 50% -1.0%
15% -6.8% 50% -10.6%
20% -15.9% 46% -19.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +20% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +26% · $-wt +20% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -12% → late +64% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$67 vs −$44 · ×1.53 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.53 per $1 lost it wins $1.53
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$674
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses23 / 23
Open positions0
Markets (closed)46 / 46
History coverage1d
Avg bet$60
Trades / day72.0
Drawdown71%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 46 Trades
no open positions (22 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 24 $64 +$47 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 24 $18 +$50 +269%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 24 $85 −$80 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 24 $85 +$69 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 24 $85 +$67 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 24 $86 +$116 +135%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 24 $107 +$111 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 24 $108 +$97 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 24 $86 −$80 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 24 $85 −$80 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 24 $54 −$50 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 24 $160 −$150 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 24 $106 +$74 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 24 $32 +$21 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 24 $11 +$58 +529%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 24 $27 −$25 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 24 $43 +$110 +255%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 24 $82 +$101 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 24 $54 +$106 +197%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 24 $27 −$25 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 24 $53 +$49 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 24 $54 +$60 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 24 $27 −$25 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 24 $160 +$145 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 24 $106 +$57 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 24 $107 −$39 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 24 $107 +$42 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 24 $64 +$40 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 24 $11 −$10 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 24 $107 −$100 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 24 $59 −$55 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 24 $43 −$40 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 24 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 24 $44 −$40 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 24 $5 +$20 +366%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 24 $27 +$20 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 24 $11 −$10 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 24 $54 −$50 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 24 $54 −$50 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 24 $27 −$25 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 24 $27 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 24 $106 +$44 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 24 $32 −$19 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 24 $11 +$47 +434%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 24 $38 −$10 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -91%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $111 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $64 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $68 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $85 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $85 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $152 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $85 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $202 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $86 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $218 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $107 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $204 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $108 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $86 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $85 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $54 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $160 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $180 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $106 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $53 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $32 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $69 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $27 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $154 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $43 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $82 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $160 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $54 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 75 history records