Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:49:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9A
0x9af1…467b
crypto · 72 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
−$2 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses32 / 42
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)74 / 72
History coverage120d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day1.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 0 History 74 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$2
14 days−$1
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-15? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-15? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$5 +331%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$5 +456%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 03 $3 +$2 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 03 $2 +$1 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 03 $4 −$3 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET May 26 $2 −$2 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET May 26 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET May 24 $2 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET May 24 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET May 24 $1 −$1 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET May 24 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET May 24 $1 +$2 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET May 24 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET May 24 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET May 24 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET May 24 $1 +$2 +201%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET May 24 $1 +$1 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET May 24 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET May 24 $3 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET May 24 $5 −$4 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET May 24 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET May 24 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET May 24 $2 +$1 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET May 24 $11 −$3 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET May 24 $10 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET May 23 $1 +$20 +1464%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET May 23 $2 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET May 23 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET May 23 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET May 23 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET May 02 $12 −$10 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET May 02 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Apr 10 $3 +$3 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Apr 10 $3 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Apr 10 $1 +$1 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Apr 10 $1 $0 +16%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? Apr 10 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Apr 09 $19 −$19 -96%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08? Apr 08 $6 +$25 +409%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08? Apr 08 $6 −$6 -98%
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? Apr 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Mar 23 $7 −$5 -82%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 78% −$29
other 18% +$20
sports 3% $0
world 1% $0
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 17¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $3 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 8¢ $2 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $4 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 20d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 20d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 10¢ $0 20d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)+12.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 +51.4% +37.0% 33% 33% -16.3%
≤30d 38 +40.6% +27.2% 39% 37% -5.0%
≤90d 63 +27.3% +15.2% 43% 40% -12.6%
all 74 +24.6% +12.7% 43% 39% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +12.7% 39% -11.5%
10% +1.9% 34% -20.0%
15% -7.9% 32% -27.7%
20% -17.0% 26% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 195 history records