Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T16:58:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9B 0x9b04…71c0 sports 4 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$72 (-2%) realized −$72 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate50%2W / 2L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1,080per market
Trades / day21.0pace
Fees−$52est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% −$505
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-17.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -8.6% -17.3% 50% 50% -17.0%
≤30d 4 -8.6% -17.3% 50% 50% -17.0%
≤90d 4 -8.6% -17.3% 50% 50% -17.0%
all 4 -8.6% -17.3% 50% 50% -17.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover21.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.3% 50% -17.0%
10% -25.2% 50% -24.9%
15% ← realistic here -32.5% 50% -32.2%
20% -39.1% 50% -38.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 62% · top 2 100% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -12% too few recent
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -12% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
4.5 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$831 vs −$1,084 · ×0.77 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.77 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$72
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses2 / 2
Est. fees paid−$52
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1,080
Trades / day21.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 4 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Arthur Fery Jun 23 $1,638 −$1,524 -93%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Varvara Lepchenko vs Anastasia Gasanova Jun 23 $650 −$643 -99%
Mallorca Championships: Lorenzo Sonego vs Miomir Kecmanovic Jun 23 $1,303 +$1,032 +79%
Mallorca Championships: Damir Dzumhur vs Vit Kopriva Jun 23 $731 +$631 +86%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Arthur Fery SELL Roman Andres Burruchaga 24¢ $95 1h
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Arthur Fery SELL Roman Andres Burruchaga 24¢ $1 1h
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Arthur Fery BUY Roman Andres Burruchaga 72¢ $67 1h
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Arthur Fery BUY Roman Andres Burruchaga 74¢ $329 1h
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Arthur Fery BUY Roman Andres Burruchaga 74¢ $205 1h
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Arthur Fery BUY Roman Andres Burruchaga 74¢ $39 1h
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Arthur Fery BUY Roman Andres Burruchaga 74¢ $4 1h
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Arthur Fery BUY Roman Andres Burruchaga 62¢ $10 1h
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Arthur Fery BUY Roman Andres Burruchaga 62¢ $32 1h
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Arthur Fery BUY Roman Andres Burruchaga 62¢ $3 1h
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Arthur Fery BUY Roman Andres Burruchaga 62¢ $3 1h
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Arthur Fery BUY Roman Andres Burruchaga 62¢ $3 1h
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Arthur Fery BUY Roman Andres Burruchaga 63¢ $10 1h
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Arthur Fery BUY Roman Andres Burruchaga 62¢ $934 1h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Varvara Lepchenko vs Anastasia Gasanova BUY Varvara Lepchenko 68¢ $650 1h
Mallorca Championships: Lorenzo Sonego vs Miomir Kecmanovic BUY Miomir Kecmanovic 55¢ $1,263 5h
Mallorca Championships: Lorenzo Sonego vs Miomir Kecmanovic BUY Miomir Kecmanovic 57¢ $40 5h
Mallorca Championships: Damir Dzumhur vs Vit Kopriva SELL Vit Kopriva 100¢ $1,362 5h
Mallorca Championships: Damir Dzumhur vs Vit Kopriva BUY Vit Kopriva 53¢ $82 12h
Mallorca Championships: Damir Dzumhur vs Vit Kopriva BUY Vit Kopriva 52¢ $16 12h
Mallorca Championships: Damir Dzumhur vs Vit Kopriva BUY Vit Kopriva 53¢ $633 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 22 history records