Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:21:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9B 0x9b0d…95c7 crypto 710 markets active 2d ago coverage 14d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (66 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$185 (-1%) realized −$185 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR8%break-even
Win rate91%645W / 65L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$27per market
Trades / day65.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$59
14 days+$17
30 days−$231
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$231
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (66 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 117 -1.4% -10.7% 80% 17% -12.5%
≤30d 710 -1.1% -10.5% 91% 8% -10.6%
≤90d 710 -1.1% -10.5% 91% 8% -10.6%
all 710 -1.1% -10.5% 91% 8% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover65.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.5% 8% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 2% -19.1%
15% -26.9% 1% -27.0%
20% -34.0% 1% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
88% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$12 · ×0.07 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.71 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

14d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$185
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses645 / 65
Open positions0
Markets (closed)710 / 710
History coverage14d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day65.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 710 Trades
no open positions (30 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$2 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$2 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$2 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $18 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $39 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $37 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $39 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Down 71¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Down 56¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.41 · official $0.00 (match) · 1679 history records