trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 4? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +64% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 7? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +73% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 5? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 5? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +13% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 8? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 5? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +23% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on June 9? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 6? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +233% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 7? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +89% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 4? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 9? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 9? | Jun 09 | $11 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 9? | Jun 09 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 14 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 64% | 43% | -22.6% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 64% | 43% | -22.6% |
| ≤90d | 14 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 64% | 43% | -22.6% |
| all | 14 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 64% | 43% | -22.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -9.1% | 43% | -22.6% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -17.8% | 36% | -30.0% |
| 15% | -25.8% | 29% | -36.8% |
| 20% | -33.0% | 29% | -43.0% |