Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:06:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9B
0x9b14…d18c
sports · 529 markets active 7h ago
0.0score
−$5,702 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,703 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14
Realized−$5,703
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses211 / 317
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions1
Markets (closed)528 / 529
History coverage594d
Avg bet$80
Trades / day2.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit64%
Chart Positions 1 History 528 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$92
7 days−$92
14 days−$144
30 days−$579
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 52¢ $14 $14 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-12? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-04-23? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Over 42¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-22? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Over 61¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Over 39¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $36 −$36 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $40 −$39 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET May 13 $59 −$56 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET May 13 $20 +$10 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET May 13 $42 −$40 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET May 13 $52 −$50 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET May 13 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET May 13 $63 −$60 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET May 13 $50 −$47 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET May 13 $42 −$31 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET May 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET May 13 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET May 13 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET May 13 $84 −$79 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET May 13 $42 +$119 +284%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET May 13 $85 −$80 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET May 13 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET May 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-12? May 12 $19 −$19 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET May 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET May 12 $8 −$8 -94%
Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Apr 24 $18 +$25 +138%
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23? Apr 23 $12 −$12 -100%
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-04-23? Apr 23 $8 −$8 -100%
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-22? Apr 22 $11 −$11 -97%
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 RBC Heritage? Apr 19 $11 −$11 -97%
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 RBC Heritage? Apr 19 $17 −$6 -36%
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 13 $58 −$58 -100%
Will FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? Apr 09 $38 −$38 -100%
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-10? Mar 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Switzerland win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling Mar 16 $62 −$62 -100%
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship? Mar 16 $72 −$72 -100%
Will South Korea win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling Mar 16 $52 −$52 -100%
Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Wom Feb 22 $111 +$658 +595%
Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men Feb 16 $48 −$41 -86%
Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mix Feb 10 $62 +$463 +742%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08? Feb 09 $57 +$43 +75%
Will William Poromaa (SWE) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026 Feb 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bruins vs. Rangers Feb 08 $42 −$42 -100%
Dota 2: Team Rostikfacekid vs Team Stariy_Bog (BO3) - Winline Star Ser Feb 08 $23 −$23 -100%
Will Germany win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - M Feb 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-26? Feb 08 $37 −$37 -100%
Will Edvin Anger (SWE) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC Feb 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mix Feb 08 $20 −$19 -95%
Will France win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Mi Feb 08 $46 +$4 +10%
Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Mi Feb 08 $32 −$32 -100%
Winter Games 2026: Lindsey Vonn to medal? Feb 08 $66 +$97 +148%
Bucks vs. Celtics Feb 01 $21 −$17 -81%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 55% −$1,516
other 28% −$940
politics 9% −$882
crypto 6% −$1,716
world 1% −$598
economics 0% −$33
tech 0% −$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $14 7h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 42¢ $36 17h
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 39¢ $40 17h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 61¢ $1 17h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 61¢ $16 17h
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 21¢ $52 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $10 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $21 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $7 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $21 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $21 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $21 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $20 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $11 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $21 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $21 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $10 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $11 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $11 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $11 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $10 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $21 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $11 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $11 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $21 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $7 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Up 9¢ $11 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $21 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $21 29d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-26.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 19 -70.6% -73.4% 11% 11% -76.6%
≤90d 35 -75.3% -77.7% 9% 9% -80.4%
all 528 -18.4% -26.2% 40% 39% -21.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -26.2% 39% -21.7%
10% -33.3% 36% -29.2%
15% -39.7% 31% -36.0%
20% -45.6% 22% -42.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.14 · official $14.14 (match) · 2178 history records