Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:09:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9B
0x9b1a…b258
crypto · 47 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$193 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$216 · open −$23
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$198
Realized+$216
Unrealized−$23
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses28 / 16
Open positions3
Markets (closed)44 / 47
History coverage1d
Avg bet$104
Trades / day115.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 3 History 44 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$216
7 days+$216
14 days+$216
30 days+$216
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $100 $101 +$1 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 51¢ 50¢ $100 $97 −$3 (-3%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$21 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $104 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $206 +$42 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $232 +$84 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $306 +$67 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $131 +$61 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $129 +$24 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $155 +$17 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $104 +$63 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $308 +$50 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $205 +$89 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $103 +$55 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $52 +$45 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $78 +$64 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$1 +4%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $130 −$11 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $106 −$106 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $105 −$105 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $211 −$211 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $205 +$49 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $114 +$35 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$27 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$13 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $128 +$41 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$29 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $105 +$79 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $103 +$15 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $104 +$31 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $104 −$9 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $103 +$58 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$11 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $52 +$46 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $203 +$27 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $101 +$7 +7%
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Jun 12 $51 −$4 -8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% +$228
other 4% −$35
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $103 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $110 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $104 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET SELL Down 69¢ $248 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $104 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $103 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $206 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $103 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $26 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $110 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $103 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $229 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $101 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $101 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $144 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $104 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $103 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $13 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $7 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $7 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $68 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Down 72¢ $58 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $26 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Down 91¢ $36 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $26 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $117 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $104 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $26 43m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-11.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 -1.8% -11.2% 64% 57% -5.3%
≤30d 44 -1.8% -11.2% 64% 57% -5.3%
≤90d 44 -1.8% -11.2% 64% 57% -5.3%
all 44 -1.8% -11.2% 64% 57% -5.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover115.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.2% 57% -5.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.7% 41% -14.4%
15% -27.4% 32% -22.7%
20% -34.5% 23% -30.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $198.15 · official $217.76 · 132 history records