Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:09:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9B
0x9b1d…bc0e
crypto · 718 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$264 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$266 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$74
Realized+$266
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses533 / 184
Open positions1
Markets (closed)717 / 718
History coverage58d
Avg bet$81
Trades / day29.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 717 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$92
7 days+$76
14 days+$230
30 days+$266
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 83¢ 81¢ $75 $74 −$1 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $126 +$19 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $75 +$5 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $101 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $76 +$21 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $127 +$28 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $102 +$48 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $101 +$17 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $126 −$125 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $77 +$7 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $76 +$12 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $103 +$84 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $151 +$21 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $128 +$60 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $227 −$74 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $126 +$10 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$22 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $102 +$28 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -98%
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30? Jun 12 $25 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $101 +$13 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $75 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $75 +$5 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $126 +$21 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$8 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$5 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $101 +$26 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $103 +$55 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $51 +$9 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 11 $51 +$11 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $50 +$8 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $50 +$7 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 11 $50 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 11 $50 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $25 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 11 $26 +$14 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 11 $51 +$10 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $51 +$9 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $52 +$38 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $26 +$10 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$1 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$221
politics 0% +$69
world 0% −$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $25 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $25 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $25 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $25 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $25 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $25 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $25 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $25 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $25 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $50 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $26 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $26 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $25 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $50 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $25 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $25 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $25 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $25 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $25 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $25 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $25 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $51 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $25 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $25 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $26 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $26 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $25 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $50 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $25 56m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 155 -4.4% -13.5% 77% 52% -8.9%
≤30d 717 -3.3% -12.5% 74% 52% -9.1%
≤90d 717 -3.3% -12.5% 74% 52% -9.1%
all 717 -3.3% -12.5% 74% 52% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.5% 52% -9.1%
10% ← realistic here -20.9% 28% -17.8%
15% -28.5% 13% -25.7%
20% -35.5% 6% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $73.70 · official $42.05 · 2292 history records