Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T18:24:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9B 0x9b1f…78c7 crypto 111 markets active 2h ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d only
✗ bot/MM pace (3391 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$893 (-2%) realized −$893 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR22%break-even
Win rate46%51W / 60L
Whale WR29%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$351per market
Trades / day3391.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$712
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (3391 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 111 -1.5% -10.9% 46% 22% -11.2%
≤30d 111 -1.5% -10.9% 46% 22% -11.2%
≤90d 111 -1.5% -10.9% 46% 22% -11.2%
all 111 -1.5% -10.9% 46% 22% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3391.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.9% 22% -11.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 10% -19.7%
15% -27.2% 4% -27.4%
20% -34.3% 1% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
51% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 29% (≥$510) big bets weaker
Persistence
early +1% → late -4% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
30.5 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$32 vs −$39 · ×0.82 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.7 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$893
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses51 / 60
Whale WR (big bets)29%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)111 / 111
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$351
Trades / day3391.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 111 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 25 $10 +$10 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 25 $85 −$5 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 25 $114 −$5 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 25 $109 +$7 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 25 $21 +$6 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 25 $510 −$78 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 25 $754 −$68 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 25 $262 +$78 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 25 $523 −$17 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 25 $253 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 25 $191 +$48 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 25 $67 −$53 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 25 $644 −$62 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 25 $754 −$95 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 25 $309 −$12 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 25 $796 +$103 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 25 $271 −$57 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 25 $868 −$45 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 25 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 25 $381 +$79 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 25 $537 −$21 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 25 $558 +$39 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 25 $585 −$56 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 25 $409 −$75 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 25 $394 +$78 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 25 $582 −$18 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 25 $202 +$58 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 25 $939 −$262 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 25 $286 −$137 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 25 $917 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 25 $628 −$101 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 25 $790 −$25 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 25 $382 +$44 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 25 $975 −$6 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 25 $714 +$35 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 25 $707 +$33 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 25 $664 −$21 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 25 $706 −$98 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 25 $544 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 25 $234 +$7 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 25 $326 −$68 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 25 $621 +$30 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 25 $82 −$82 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 25 $490 −$32 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 25 $318 −$33 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 25 $435 +$40 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 25 $772 +$63 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 25 $469 +$97 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 25 $526 −$56 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 25 $72 −$29 -40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $31 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $23 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $31 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $36 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $18 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $28 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records