Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:54:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9B
0x9b2d…5b23
sports · 243 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
−$496 -27%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$489 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Net worth$23
Realized−$489
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses143 / 93
Est. fees paid−$17
Open positions7
Markets (closed)236 / 243
History coverage238d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day1.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 7 History 236 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$47
7 days−$28
14 days−$36
30 days−$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudee Zeynep Sonmez 89¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+12%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yuan Katerina Siniakova 88¢ 88¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Nottingham 2: Jaime Faria vs Moez Echargui Jaime Faria 88¢ 81¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-8%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito Petra Marcinko 89¢ 74¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-16%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parks Alycia Parks 84¢ 24¢ $6 $2 −$4 (-72%)
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel Alexander Shevchenko 59¢ 58¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
ITF Cuiaba: Noelia Zeballos vs Carolina Alves Noelia Zeballos 39¢ 12¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-71%)
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Arthur Rinderknech 67¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko Vitaliy Sachko 19¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Guido Justo 64¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
ITF Zagreb: Rebecca Sramkova vs Iva Primorac Rebecca Sramkova 85¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Alicia Dudeney vs Yulia Putintseva Yulia Putintseva 44¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton Adam Walton 29¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
ITF Nice: Alina Granwehr vs Jenny Lim Alina Granwehr 63¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally Emma Navarro 86¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Tucuman: Karim Bennani vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Karim Bennani 58¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
ITF Kayseri: Mandegar Farzami vs Lan Mi Mandegar Farzami 17¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
ITF Harmon: Youssef Kadiri Hassani vs Hiromasa Koyama Hiromasa Koyama 65¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Yes 26¢ $395 $0 −$395 (-100%)
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel Zsombor Piros 62¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Tyler: Andre Ilagan vs Yuta Shimizu Yuta Shimizu 70¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
ITF Wuning: Daria Khomutsianskaya vs Sara Saito Daria Khomutsianskaya 72¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
ITF Cuiaba: Antonia Rivera vs Maria Florencia Urrutia Maria Florencia Urrutia 48¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Zeynep Sonmez Anastasia Potapova 57¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Makarska: Darja Semenistaja vs Maria Timofeeva Darja Semenistaja 16¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Taylah Preston Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano Jun 13 $6 +$1 +20%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Cattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti Jun 13 $1 +$1 +55%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw Jun 13 $9 +$6 +71%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron Jun 13 $5 +$2 +33%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Alicia Dudeney vs Yulia Putintseva Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 13 $3 −$3 -99%
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Nicolas Kicker Jun 13 $1 +$2 +197%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 13 $3 −$3 -99%
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel Jun 13 $1 +$1 +146%
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Mikhail Kukushkin Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Jun 13 $1 +$1 +52%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic Jun 13 $1 +$1 +52%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmo Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Aziz Dougaz Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova Jun 13 $6 +$1 +21%
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Aleksandar Vukic Jun 13 $2 +$1 +57%
ITF Zagreb: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Anna-Lena Friedsam Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $6 +$1 +20%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Halle Open, Qualification: Tiago Pereira vs Tom Gentzsch Jun 13 $1 +$1 +55%
ITF Merzig: Eva Bennemann vs Tamila Gadamauri Jun 13 $1 +$4 +365%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Mia Pohankova vs Tamara Korp Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Kaja Juvan Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Halle Open, Qualification: Jamie Mackenzie vs Alex Bolt Jun 13 $6 $0 -7%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Liam Broady Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Halle Open, Qualification: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Roberto Bautista Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
ITF kiseljak: Sergi Perez Contri vs Ivan Biletic Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Martin Damm vs Daniel Merida Aguila Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel Jun 13 $2 +$2 +105%
ITF Martos: Pablo Martinez Gomez vs Pablo Perez Ramos Jun 13 $2 +$1 +60%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Mimi Xu vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
ITF Madrid: Carmen Gallardo Guevara vs Briyana Ivanova Jun 13 $2 +$7 +335%
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Emiliana Arango vs Anna Bondar Jun 13 $1 +$1 +52%
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Yunchaokete Bu Jun 13 $1 +$1 +60%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $10 +$3 +32%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Jun 13 $6 +$1 +20%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Elena Ruxandra Bertea vs Eva Vedder Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
ITF Zagreb: Iva Primorac vs Elina Avanesyan Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
ITF Casablanca: Nina Vargova vs Luna Vujovic Jun 13 $1 +$2 +216%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 73% −$41
culture 22% −$395
other 6% −$60
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel BUY Alexander Shevchenko 59¢ $1 31m
ITF Cuiaba: Noelia Zeballos vs Carolina Alves BUY Noelia Zeballos 41¢ $1 39m
ITF Cuiaba: Noelia Zeballos vs Carolina Alves BUY Noelia Zeballos 41¢ $1 39m
ITF Cuiaba: Noelia Zeballos vs Carolina Alves BUY Noelia Zeballos 36¢ $1 41m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Zeynep Sonmez 89¢ $5 42m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Taylah Preston BUY Taylah Preston 88¢ $5 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec BUY Viktorija Golubic 89¢ $5 1h
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano BUY Jacob Fearnley 65¢ $1 1h
Nottingham 2: Jaime Faria vs Moez Echargui BUY Jaime Faria 88¢ $5 2h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 89¢ $5 2h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Alicia Dudeney vs Yulia Putintseva BUY Yulia Putintseva 38¢ $1 2h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Alicia Dudeney vs Yulia Putintseva BUY Yulia Putintseva 38¢ $1 2h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic BUY Emma Raducanu 63¢ $1 2h
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano BUY Jacob Fearnley 88¢ $5 2h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 57¢ $1 2h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 57¢ $1 2h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 61¢ $1 3h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 62¢ $1 3h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Alicia Dudeney vs Yulia Putintseva BUY Yulia Putintseva 66¢ $1 3h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron BUY Daniel Evans 27¢ $1 3h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata BUY Dino Prizmic 56¢ $1 3h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata BUY Dino Prizmic 56¢ $1 3h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw BUY Felix Balshaw 61¢ $1 3h
Cattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 64¢ $1 3h
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Guido Justo 64¢ $1 3h
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Guido Justo 64¢ $1 3h
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Guido Justo 64¢ $1 3h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw BUY Felix Balshaw 60¢ $1 4h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw BUY Felix Balshaw 60¢ $1 4h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw BUY Felix Balshaw 60¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)+3.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 211 +3.5% -6.4% 60% 59% -11.9%
≤30d 234 +15.4% +4.4% 61% 59% -12.0%
≤90d 234 +15.4% +4.4% 61% 59% -12.0%
all 236 +14.4% +3.5% 61% 58% -34.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +3.5% 58% -34.9%
10% -6.4% 30% -41.1%
15% -15.4% 25% -46.8%
20% -23.7% 20% -52.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $22.93 · official $22.93 (match) · 513 history records