Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:36:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9B
0x9b37…ca6f
weather · 57 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$54 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$60 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$27
Realized−$60
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses38 / 15
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions3
Markets (closed)53 / 57
History coverage15d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day21.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 53 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$22
14 days−$63
30 days−$60
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes 16¢ 15¢ $25 $23 −$2 (-6%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 14? No 98¢ 91¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-7%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? Jun 14 $7 −$7 -93%
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13? Jun 13 $55 −$3 -6%
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13? Jun 13 $2 $0 +17%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +72%
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $17 +$5 +31%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on June 11? Jun 11 $14 +$2 +12%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on June 11? Jun 11 $2 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 11? Jun 11 $2 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 11? Jun 11 $2 $0 +2%
ITF Curtea de Arges: Anas Mazdrashki vs David Eichenseher Jun 11 $2 $0 +21%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 10? Jun 11 $13 +$1 +8%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10? Jun 11 $37 −$10 -28%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 9? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 9? Jun 10 $30 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on June 9? Jun 09 $24 +$3 +15%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $18 −$18 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8? Jun 09 $65 −$5 -8%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on June 8? Jun 08 $1 $0 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 8? Jun 08 $16 +$3 +17%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 7? Jun 08 $3 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 7? Jun 08 $15 +$7 +47%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 6? Jun 07 $22 +$5 +23%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 6? Jun 06 $10 +$1 +12%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 6? Jun 06 $17 +$1 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 5? Jun 05 $28 +$2 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 5? Jun 05 $20 +$3 +17%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 4? Jun 05 $22 −$22 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 4? Jun 05 $42 +$3 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 4? Jun 04 $15 −$6 -42%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 4? Jun 04 $12 $0 -4%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 3? Jun 04 $4 $0 +11%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 3? Jun 04 $12 −$12 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 3? Jun 03 $3 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 3? Jun 03 $27 +$1 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 3? Jun 03 $24 −$22 -91%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 2? Jun 03 $36 −$2 -6%
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 1? Jun 02 $24 −$3 -13%
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 1? Jun 02 $19 +$1 +5%
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 1? Jun 02 $23 +$3 +15%
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 31? Jun 01 $23 +$7 +29%
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 31? Jun 01 $12 +$1 +5%
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 31? Jun 01 $18 +$1 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 31? Jun 01 $3 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 31? Jun 01 $2 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on May 31? May 31 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 30? May 31 $4 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 93% −$37
world 4% −$2
sports 3% −$16
politics 1% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 14? BUY No 98¢ $1 14m
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 14? BUY No 98¢ $1 14m
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13? BUY Yes 79¢ $1 21h
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13? BUY Yes 78¢ $1 21h
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13? BUY Yes 78¢ $1 21h
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13? BUY Yes 77¢ $1 21h
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13? BUY Yes 75¢ $1 21h
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13? BUY Yes 74¢ $1 21h
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13? BUY Yes 75¢ $1 21h
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13? BUY Yes 78¢ $1 21h
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13? BUY Yes 78¢ $1 21h
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13? BUY Yes 78¢ $2 21h
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13? BUY No 85¢ $1 21h
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13? BUY No 85¢ $1 21h
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13? BUY Yes 74¢ $1 21h
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13? BUY Yes 74¢ $5 21h
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13? BUY Yes 73¢ $5 21h
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13? BUY Yes 73¢ $2 21h
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13? SELL Yes 48¢ $1 22h
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13? SELL Yes 46¢ $18 22h
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13? BUY Yes 57¢ $1 22h
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13? BUY Yes 48¢ $1 22h
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13? BUY Yes 48¢ $1 22h
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13? BUY Yes 63¢ $1 22h
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13? BUY Yes 58¢ $1 23h
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13? BUY Yes 59¢ $1 23h
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13? BUY Yes 61¢ $1 23h
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13? BUY Yes 77¢ $5 23h
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13? BUY Yes 79¢ $2 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 -2.9% -12.1% 76% 32% -15.5%
≤30d 53 -5.0% -14.0% 72% 30% -16.5%
≤90d 53 -5.0% -14.0% 72% 30% -16.5%
all 53 -5.0% -14.0% 72% 30% -16.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.0% 30% -16.5%
10% ← realistic here -22.2% 13% -24.5%
15% -29.8% 8% -31.8%
20% -36.6% 4% -38.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $26.56 · official $26.56 (match) · 365 history records