trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 14 | +14.7% | +3.8% | 57% | 21% | -12.6% |
| ≤30d | 18 | +41.5% | +28.0% | 61% | 33% | -10.0% |
| ≤90d | 27 | +20.0% | +8.6% | 52% | 30% | -10.1% |
| all | 27 | +20.0% | +8.6% | 52% | 30% | -10.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +8.6% | 30% | -10.1% |
| 10% | -1.8% | 22% | -18.7% |
| 15% | -11.3% | 19% | -26.6% |
| 20% | -20.0% | 19% | -33.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 85¢ | 84¢ | $508 | $505 | −$3 (-1%) |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 89¢ | 88¢ | $41 | $41 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 21 | $49 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $500 | +$14 | +3% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round | Jun 21 | $123 | −$28 | -23% |
| Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the | Jun 21 | $449 | −$45 | -10% |
| Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $524 | +$8 | +2% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $562 | +$13 | +2% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $559 | +$3 | +0% |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5 | Jun 17 | $51 | +$32 | +64% |
| Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 3 Norway? | Jun 17 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $5 | +$10 | +198% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $111 | −$104 | -94% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca | Jun 15 | $10 | +$37 | +363% |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31? | Jun 01 | $20 | +$13 | +62% |
| Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | May 31 | $139 | +$22 | +16% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic | May 29 | $10 | +$48 | +462% |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | May 22 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 12 | $10 | $0 | -3% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 11 | $8 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | May 11 | $9 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 11 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | May 10 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 | May 06 | $1 | −$1 | -54% |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid | May 03 | $49 | +$9 | +18% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 14? | Apr 15 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 13? | Apr 13 | $19 | +$6 | +32% |