Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:42:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9B
0x9b4b…591c
politics · 280 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses77 / 188
Open positions17
Markets (closed)265 / 280
History coverage6d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day560.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 17 History 265 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 99¢ 99¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 99¢ 99¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 99¢ 99¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election? No 99¢ 99¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No 100¢ 100¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No 100¢ 100¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 99¢ 99¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No 99¢ 99¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June? No 100¢ 99¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No 100¢ 100¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No 100¢ 100¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No 99¢ 99¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No 100¢ 100¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No 100¢ 100¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? No 99¢ 99¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No 99¢ 98¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch? Jun 13 $0 $0 -4%
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 13 $14 $0 -0%
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 13 $12 $0 +0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $9 $0 -0%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 13 $14 $0 -0%
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 13 $36 $0 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 13 $16 $0 +0%
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Jun 13 $49 $0 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $9 $0 -0%
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Jun 13 $4 $0 +1%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June? Jun 13 $1 $0 -5%
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential e Jun 13 $4 $0 +1%
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $43 $0 -0%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June? Jun 13 $18 $0 -0%
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 13 $9 $0 +0%
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $27 $0 -0%
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 13 $20 $0 -0%
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin Jun 13 $17 $0 -0%
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 13 $48 $0 -0%
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 13 $13 $0 +1%
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026? Jun 13 $8 $0 -0%
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 13 $35 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $8 $0 -0%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 13 $17 $0 -0%
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 13 $24 $0 +0%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 13 $33 $0 -0%
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 13 $16 $0 -0%
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 13 $22 $0 -0%
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 13 $7 $0 +0%
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 13 $20 $0 +0%
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $37 $0 +0%
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 13 $22 $0 -0%
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 13 $26 $0 +0%
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 13 $13 $0 +0%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June? Jun 13 $26 $0 -0%
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? Jun 13 $22 $0 -0%
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 13 $9 $0 +1%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 13 $5 $0 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 13 $6 $0 +4%
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 13 $27 $0 +0%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 13 $27 $0 -0%
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 13 $13 $0 +1%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 13 $69 $0 -0%
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 13 $9 $0 -0%
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Jun 13 $11 $0 -1%
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 13 $35 $0 -0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
Will Oceania (OCF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $14 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 45% $0
other 24% +$1
world 10% −$1
culture 8% $0
economics 6% $0
tech 6% $0
crypto 2% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $2 19m
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $6 19m
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $6 19m
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $0 19m
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $0 20m
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $0 20m
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $2 20m
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $1 20m
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $0 20m
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on De SELL No 99¢ $1 20m
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $2 20m
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $2 20m
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $2 1h
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $1 1h
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on De BUY No 99¢ $1 1h
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $2 1h
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 100¢ $14 1h
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $2 1h
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 100¢ $14 1h
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $0 2h
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $0 2h
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 100¢ $0 2h
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $0 2h
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $1 2h
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $1 2h
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $1 2h
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $7 2h
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $1 2h
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $7 2h
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $0 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 265 +0.1% -9.5% 29% 1% -9.5%
≤30d 265 +0.1% -9.5% 29% 1% -9.5%
≤90d 265 +0.1% -9.5% 29% 1% -9.5%
all 265 +0.1% -9.5% 29% 1% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover560.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 1% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.1% 1% -18.2%
15% -26.0% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.62 · official $1.60 · 3500 history records