Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:03:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9B
0x9b4d…ae75
crypto · 26 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$7 -21%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$6
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses12 / 11
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)23 / 26
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day54.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit77%
Chart Positions 3 History 23 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$6
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 48¢ 46¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-5%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Yes 79¢ 71¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-10%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 24¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-54%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 12 $1 $0 -9%
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Jun 12 $1 $0 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +158%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 79% −$8
other 18% +$1
sports 3% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 6¢ $1 4m
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 4m
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? SELL No 13¢ $1 27m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 79¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 23¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 82¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 3¢ $0 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Down 25¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Down 25¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Down 82¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 6¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 28¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-18.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -9.8% -18.4% 52% 48% -24.7%
≤30d 23 -9.8% -18.4% 52% 48% -24.7%
≤90d 23 -9.8% -18.4% 52% 48% -24.7%
all 23 -9.8% -18.4% 52% 48% -24.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover54.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.4% 48% -24.7%
10% ← realistic here -26.2% 35% -31.9%
15% -33.4% 30% -38.5%
20% -39.9% 22% -44.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.31 · official $2.31 (match) · 62 history records