Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T13:17:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9B 0x9b50…3da7 crypto 405 markets active 0h ago coverage 14d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$186 (-8%) realized −$186 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR53%break-even
Win rate53%216W / 188L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day33.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$39
7 days−$137
14 days−$224
30 days−$224
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$224
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-18.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 337 -4.5% -13.6% 58% 58% -15.2%
≤30d 404 -9.9% -18.5% 53% 53% -18.0%
≤90d 404 -9.9% -18.5% 53% 53% -18.0%
all 404 -9.9% -18.5% 53% 53% -18.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover33.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.5% 53% -18.0%
10% ← realistic here -26.3% 51% -25.8%
15% -33.4% 40% -33.0%
20% -39.9% 30% -39.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -9% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt -9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -17% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$5 · ×0.66 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.76 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

14d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$186
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses216 / 188
Open positions0
Markets (closed)404 / 405
History coverage14d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day33.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 404 Trades
no open positions (156 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$2 -24%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$2 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$2 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$1 -13%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$3 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$3 +68%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$1 -12%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$1 -13%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$3 +54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$2 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$2 +46%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$2 -23%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$3 +55%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$1 -14%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$3 +61%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$3 -27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$2 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$3 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$3 +57%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$2 +55%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$3 +68%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$3 -31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$4 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $9 +$6 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 15 $9 +$7 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$4 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$4 +73%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$1 -13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $4 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $4 42m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $4 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $4 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 704 history records