Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:16:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9B
0x9b59…5e72
crypto · 683 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$222 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$199 · open −$23
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$97
Realized−$199
Unrealized−$23
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses420 / 262
Est. fees paid−$56
Open positions1
Markets (closed)682 / 683
History coverage66d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day19.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 1 History 682 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$499
7 days−$340
14 days+$53
30 days−$337
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Up 83¢ 66¢ $120 $97 −$23 (-20%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 46¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 23¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 34¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 25¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 61¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Down 80¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 42¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$4 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$11 +51%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$8 +151%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +84%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $123 −$44 -36%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $102 −$93 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$27 +127%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $102 +$8 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Jun 12 $103 +$16 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$6 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $204 +$24 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$5 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$10 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$11 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$9 -86%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 3PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Mai Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 3PM ET Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5PM ET Jun 12 $118 −$118 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $73 −$37 -50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 81% −$132
sports 18% −$109
other 1% +$19
politics 0% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $102 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $21 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $25 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $20 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $20 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $20 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $21 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $13 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 48m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $20 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET SELL Up $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $102 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $73 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $48 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $21 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $21 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $110 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $102 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $119 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $103 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-13.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 184 -8.6% -17.3% 61% 46% -14.3%
≤30d 481 -8.0% -16.8% 60% 41% -11.5%
≤90d 682 -4.7% -13.8% 62% 37% -10.4%
all 682 -4.7% -13.8% 62% 37% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.8% 37% -10.4%
10% -22.0% 23% -19.0%
15% -29.6% 15% -26.8%
20% -36.5% 9% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $96.55 · official $100.90 · 1590 history records