trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $3 | $0 | -10% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $4 | −$1 | -17% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$2 | -15% |
| Will a player representing England be the top goalscorer at the 2026 F | Jun 13 | $10 | −$2 | -15% |
| Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FI | Jun 13 | $10 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $13 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $17 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $21 | −$2 | -12% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $20 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $41 | −$6 | -15% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | -9.6% | -18.2% | 10% | 0% | -18.6% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -9.6% | -18.2% | 10% | 0% | -18.6% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -9.6% | -18.2% | 10% | 0% | -18.6% |
| all | 10 | -9.6% | -18.2% | 10% | 0% | -18.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -18.2% | 0% | -18.6% |
| 10% | -26.0% | 0% | -26.4% |
| 15% | -33.2% | 0% | -33.5% |
| 20% | -39.7% | 0% | -40.0% |