Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T03:54:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
9B 0x9b77…b4e1 crypto 147 markets active 1h ago coverage 112d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$561 (+4%) realized +$561 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -4% what you keep after slip
Net edge-4%after slip
Net WR44%break-even
Win rate48%70W / 77L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$104per market
Trades / day2.1pace
Fees−$38est.
Kalshi-fit80%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$182
7 days+$454
14 days+$454
30 days+$454
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 52% −$263
other 22% +$1,349
sports 20% −$377
world 6% −$383
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-3.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 +17.3% +6.1% 22% 19% -3.1%
≤30d 37 +17.3% +6.1% 22% 19% -3.1%
≤90d 37 +17.3% +6.1% 22% 19% -3.1%
all 147 +6.7% -3.5% 48% 44% -7.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover2.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -3.5% 44% -7.6%
10% -12.7% 43% -16.4%
15% -21.1% 37% -24.5%
20% -28.9% 33% -31.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 21% · top 2 35% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +7% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
7% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +7% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +6% → late +7% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$98 vs −$85 · ×1.15 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.05 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

112d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$561
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses70 / 77
Est. fees paid−$38
Open positions0
Markets (closed)147 / 147
History coverage112d
Avg bet$104
Trades / day2.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 147 Trades
no open positions (42 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5 Jun 19 $298 −$88 -30%
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 18 $103 −$100 -97%
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 18 $103 −$100 -97%
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 18 $103 −$100 -97%
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 18 $103 −$100 -98%
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 18 $103 −$100 -97%
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 18 $103 −$100 -97%
Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 1 South Africa? Jun 18 $103 +$612 +596%
Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 1 South Africa? Jun 18 $103 −$82 -80%
Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 2 South Africa? Jun 18 $103 −$70 -68%
Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 1 South Africa? Jun 18 $103 −$50 -48%
Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 3 South Africa? Jun 18 $26 −$17 -65%
Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 3 South Africa? Jun 18 $36 −$26 -73%
Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 2 South Africa? Jun 18 $103 −$36 -35%
Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 18 $103 −$100 -97%
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? Jun 18 $82 +$29 +36%
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 3 Colombia? Jun 18 $113 +$1,458 +1290%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 18 $51 +$26 +50%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 18 $113 −$110 -98%
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 0 - 3 Colombia? Jun 18 $113 −$110 -97%
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 0 - 2 Colombia? Jun 18 $113 −$110 -98%
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? Jun 18 $846 −$340 -40%
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? Jun 17 $405 +$297 +73%
Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Croatia? Jun 17 $103 −$100 -97%
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Croatia? Jun 17 $103 −$100 -97%
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Croatia? Jun 17 $103 −$100 -98%
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Croatia? Jun 17 $103 −$100 -98%
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Croatia? Jun 17 $103 −$100 -98%
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria? Jun 17 $98 +$965 +982%
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Algeria? Jun 17 $103 −$100 -98%
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Algeria? Jun 17 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 16 $69 −$67 -97%
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? Jun 16 $916 −$383 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 16 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 16 $200 +$2 +1%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 2.5 Jun 15 $493 −$489 -99%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Jun 15 $501 +$467 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Mar 16 $37 −$36 -99%
Honor of Kings: WST vs Kai Lun Gaming (BO5) - KPL Growth League Group Mar 16 $64 −$28 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Mar 16 $38 −$38 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Mar 16 $37 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Mar 16 $73 −$72 -99%
Jazz vs. Kings Mar 16 $98 +$74 +75%
Warriors vs. Knicks Mar 16 $64 +$36 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Mar 16 $37 +$26 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Mar 10 $44 −$43 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Mar 10 $51 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Mar 10 $53 −$12 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Mar 10 $62 −$22 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Mar 10 $75 +$64 +86%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 35¢ $209 1h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 48¢ $298 1h
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 12¢ $103 9h
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 1¢ $103 9h
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 5¢ $103 9h
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 13¢ $103 9h
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 12¢ $103 9h
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 5¢ $103 9h
Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 1 South Africa? SELL Yes 1¢ $21 10h
Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 2 South Africa? SELL Yes 2¢ $32 10h
Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 1 South Africa? SELL Yes 6¢ $53 10h
Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 3 South Africa? SELL Yes 1¢ $9 10h
Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 3 South Africa? SELL Yes 1¢ $10 10h
Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 2 South Africa? SELL Yes 3¢ $67 10h
Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 3 South Africa? BUY Yes 2¢ $36 12h
Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 3 South Africa? BUY Yes 2¢ $26 12h
Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 1 South Africa? BUY Yes 14¢ $103 12h
Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 2 South Africa? BUY Yes 6¢ $103 12h
Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 0 South Africa? BUY Yes 12¢ $103 12h
Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 2 South Africa? BUY Yes 5¢ $103 12h
Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 1 South Africa? BUY Yes 6¢ $103 12h
Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 1 South Africa? BUY Yes 11¢ $103 12h
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 73¢ $82 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $26 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $26 26h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 17¢ $113 27h
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 3 Colombia? BUY Yes 7¢ $113 27h
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 0 - 3 Colombia? BUY Yes 11¢ $113 27h
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 0 - 2 Colombia? BUY Yes 15¢ $113 27h
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? SELL No 37¢ $506 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 346 history records