trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 7¢ | 1¢ | $53 | $6 | −$47 (-89%) |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 49¢ | 44¢ | $4 | $4 | −$0 (-11%) |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Yes | 28¢ | 34¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+23%) |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $21 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $4 | −$3 | -85% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $6 | −$6 | -97% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $5 | +$3 | +59% |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $2 | −$1 | -60% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $5 | +$12 | +244% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $8 | −$7 | -87% |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $1 | +$7 | +649% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | +52.2% | +37.7% | 40% | 30% | -3.4% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +52.2% | +37.7% | 40% | 30% | -3.4% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +52.2% | +37.7% | 40% | 30% | -3.4% |
| all | 10 | +52.2% | +37.7% | 40% | 30% | -3.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +37.7% | 30% | -3.4% |
| 10% | +24.5% | 30% | -12.7% |
| 15% | +12.5% | 30% | -21.1% |
| 20% | +1.4% | 30% | -28.8% |