Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T02:06:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.5
score
9B 0x9b7d…ebc1 crypto 513 markets active 4h ago coverage 55d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$189 (+4%) realized +$189 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -9% what you keep after slip
Net edge-9%after slip
Net WR57%break-even
Win rate61%312W / 201L
Drawdown62%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day16.6pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days−$26
14 days−$162
30 days+$48
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 91% +$18
weather 8% +$146
world 1% −$30
other 0% −$2
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-1.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 -11.3% -19.8% 74% 74% -20.9%
≤30d 362 -3.7% -12.9% 72% 69% -8.5%
≤90d 513 +8.6% -1.7% 61% 57% -6.6%
all 513 +8.6% -1.7% 61% 57% -6.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover16.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -1.7% 57% -6.6%
10% -11.1% 33% -15.5%
15% -19.7% 12% -23.7%
20% -27.6% 10% -31.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
6% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +9% · $-wt +3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +20% → late -3% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$6 · ×0.72 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.12 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

55d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$189
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses312 / 201
Open positions0
Markets (closed)513 / 513
History coverage55d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day16.6
Drawdown62%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 513 Trades
no open positions (91 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 28 $4 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 28 $4 +$1 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 28 $4 +$1 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 27 $4 +$1 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 27 $4 +$1 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 27 $4 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 27 $4 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 27 $4 +$1 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 27 $4 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 27 $4 −$4 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 27 $4 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 24 $6 −$6 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 24 $6 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 24 $6 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 23 $6 −$6 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 23 $6 +$1 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 23 $6 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 23 $6 +$1 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 23 $6 +$1 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 22 $6 +$1 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 22 $6 −$6 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 22 $6 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 22 $6 +$1 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 22 $6 +$1 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 22 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 22 $6 +$1 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 22 $6 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 22 $6 −$6 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 22 $6 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 22 $6 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 22 $6 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 22 $6 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 21 $6 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 21 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 21 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 21 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 21 $6 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 21 $6 +$1 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 20 $6 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 20 $6 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 20 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 20 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 20 $6 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 20 $6 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 20 $6 +$1 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 19 $6 +$1 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 19 $6 +$2 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 19 $6 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 19 $6 +$1 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 15h
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 18h
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 23h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $6 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $6 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $6 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $6 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $6 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $6 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $6 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $6 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $6 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $6 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $6 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $6 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $6 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $6 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $6 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $6 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $6 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $6 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1280 history records