Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:45:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9B
0x9b85…60e5
crypto · 462 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$470 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$470 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$470
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses126 / 336
Open positions0
Markets (closed)462 / 462
History coverage9d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day352.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 462 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$221
7 days−$446
14 days−$470
30 days−$470
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$7 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $29 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $21 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$4 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $22 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $22 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$3 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$470
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $10 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $9 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $0 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $8 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $8 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $0 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $0 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 26m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 404 -5.1% -14.2% 27% 5% -13.3%
≤30d 462 -2.9% -12.1% 27% 5% -12.7%
≤90d 462 -2.9% -12.1% 27% 5% -12.7%
all 462 -2.9% -12.1% 27% 5% -12.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover352.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.1% 5% -12.7%
10% ← realistic here -20.5% 3% -21.0%
15% -28.2% 2% -28.6%
20% -35.2% 2% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records