Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:59:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9B
0x9b87…a20a
weather · 662 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$535 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$530 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$456
Realized+$530
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses634 / 31
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)665 / 662
History coverage41d
Avg bet$152
Trades / day83.0
Drawdown50%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 665 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$63
7 days+$239
14 days+$458
30 days+$457
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $354 $356 +$2 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $99 $100 +$1 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on April 29? Yes 97¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 12? Yes 98¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 17? Yes 99¢ 0¢ $183 $0 −$183 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on May 29? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 4? Yes 99¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? Yes 95¢ 0¢ $103 $0 −$103 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 4? No 99¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on April 29? Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 12? Jun 13 $248 +$2 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 12? Jun 13 $367 +$3 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 12? Jun 13 $11 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 12? Jun 13 $130 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $297 +$2 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -84%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $147 +$1 +1%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on June 12? Jun 12 $413 +$11 +3%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 12? Jun 12 $69 +$1 +1%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $384 +$7 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $16 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 12? Jun 12 $198 +$2 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 12? Jun 12 $422 +$4 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $41 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $269 +$2 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $232 +$2 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $198 +$2 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $105 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $181 +$2 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 11? Jun 12 $16 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 11? Jun 12 $29 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 90-91°F on Ju Jun 12 $380 +$9 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 11? Jun 11 $106 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 11? Jun 11 $160 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 11? Jun 11 $59 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 11? Jun 11 $108 +$1 +1%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on June 11? Jun 11 $191 +$1 +0%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 11? Jun 11 $404 +$10 +2%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 11? Jun 11 $98 +$2 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 11? Jun 11 $396 +$4 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 11? Jun 11 $594 +$5 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 11? Jun 11 $229 +$2 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on June 11? Jun 11 $50 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 11? Jun 11 $181 +$2 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $481 +$4 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 11? Jun 11 $33 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 11? Jun 11 $195 +$2 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 11? Jun 11 $9 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 11? Jun 11 $29 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 11? Jun 11 $71 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 11? Jun 11 $256 +$2 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 82% +$390
finance 16% +$241
other 2% −$74
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $5 9m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $22 9m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $10 15m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $125 17m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $149 18m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $95 57m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $6 58m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $18 59m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $104 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $14 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $9 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $36 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $53 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $53 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $292 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $22 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $25 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? BUY Yes 98¢ $20 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 12? SELL Yes 100¢ $55 1h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 12? SELL Yes 100¢ $0 5h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 12? SELL Yes 100¢ $7 5h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 12? SELL Yes 100¢ $7 5h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 12? SELL Yes 100¢ $7 5h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 12? SELL Yes 100¢ $7 5h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 12? SELL Yes 100¢ $7 5h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 12? SELL Yes 100¢ $7 5h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 12? SELL Yes 100¢ $7 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 150 -3.1% -12.3% 94% 0% -8.7%
≤30d 518 -0.9% -10.3% 96% 0% -9.0%
≤90d 665 -0.9% -10.4% 95% 0% -9.0%
all 665 -0.9% -10.4% 95% 0% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover83.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.4% 0% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 0% -17.7%
15% -26.8% 0% -25.7%
20% -34.0% 0% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $456.20 · official $456.20 (match) · 3500 history records