Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:28:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9B
0x9b8e…74b4
crypto · 482 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$140 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$140 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$140
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses226 / 256
Open positions0
Markets (closed)482 / 482
History coverage2d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day648.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 0 History 482 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$140
7 days−$140
14 days−$140
30 days−$140
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 23¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 47¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 18¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 59¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 77¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 13¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 13¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 77¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 86¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 22¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 70¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 53¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 40¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 27¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 25¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 15¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 58¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 15¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 21¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 26¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 75¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 14¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 30¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +26%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +24%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +81%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +13%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +42%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +42%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +65%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% −$111
other 9% −$29
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 11m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 46m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 52m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 55m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-18.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 482 -9.5% -18.1% 47% 44% -17.8%
≤30d 482 -9.5% -18.1% 47% 44% -17.8%
≤90d 482 -9.5% -18.1% 47% 44% -17.8%
all 482 -9.5% -18.1% 47% 44% -17.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover648.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.1% 44% -17.8%
10% ← realistic here -25.9% 34% -25.6%
15% -33.1% 25% -32.8%
20% -39.6% 19% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1462 history records