Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:34:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
9B 0x9b97…aac8 crypto 1160 markets active 0h ago coverage 30d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 30d only
✗ bot/MM pace (68 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$940 (-19%) realized −$940 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR34%break-even
Win rate36%421W / 738L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day68.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$273now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$227
7 days−$4
14 days−$825
30 days−$1,064
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,064
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (68 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-6.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 341 +62.0% +46.6% 49% 41% -1.4%
≤30d 1159 +2.9% -6.9% 36% 34% -28.5%
≤90d 1159 +2.9% -6.9% 36% 34% -28.5%
all 1159 +2.9% -6.9% 36% 34% -28.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover68.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.9% 34% -28.5%
10% ← realistic here -15.8% 32% -35.4%
15% -24.0% 32% -41.6%
20% -31.4% 31% -47.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 15% · top 2 19% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -23% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
7% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +3% · $-wt -23% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -22% → late +28% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$4 · ×1.16 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.66 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

30d coverage
Net worth$273
Realized−$940
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses421 / 738
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1159 / 1160
History coverage30d ⚠
Avg bet$4
Trades / day68.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 1159 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 94¢ 94¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 234 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$3 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$3 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$3 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$3 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $6 +$4 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $6 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $6 +$5 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$2 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 17 $6 +$6 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $6 +$4 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$4 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 17 $6 +$4 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$3 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 17 $6 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$6 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$2 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $6 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $6 +$3 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$2 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$2 -29%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $7 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $6 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET SELL Down 21¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Down 25¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $6 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $6 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $272.75 · official $254.84 · 3479 history records