Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:30:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9B
0x9b98…e5d1
sports · 747 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$649 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$649 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Chart Positions 2 History 745 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$14
14 days−$25
30 days−$78
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 68¢ 68¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 56¢ 56¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5 $0 -5%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 −$1 -6%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $5 $0 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +1%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 -5%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -21%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -11%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $21 −$5 -24%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $5 −$1 -27%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $5 +$1 +18%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $5 −$2 -30%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $15 −$2 -12%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $10 +$3 +30%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $5 −$1 -13%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $5 +$1 +30%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5 Jun 11 $5 $0 -3%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $5 $0 +5%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 10 $5 $0 -5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? Jun 10 $5 −$1 -24%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $5 $0 -10%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 162.5 Jun 10 $5 −$1 -14%
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) Jun 10 $5 $0 -4%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $10 −$2 -22%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $5 $0 +7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $5 −$1 -12%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $5 −$1 -11%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $5 −$1 -10%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 04 $5 $0 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5? Jun 04 $10 −$1 -10%
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 4 Winner Jun 04 $10 −$2 -16%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 04 $10 −$1 -9%
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5 Jun 04 $5 $0 -3%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG - Map 1 Winner Jun 04 $20 −$1 -7%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Jun 04 $5 $0 +4%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $10 $0 -2%
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playof Jun 04 $10 $0 -5%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $5 $0 +3%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $5 $0 -7%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 04 $5 $0 -6%
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs Gaimin Gladiators (+1.5) Jun 03 $5 $0 -9%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $5 $0 -8%
Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5) Jun 02 $5 $0 -3%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $25 +$1 +3%
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $10 +$1 +9%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $5 +$2 +40%
Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury Jun 02 $5 +$1 +12%
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5 Jun 01 $5 $0 +3%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $30 −$1 -4%
Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5 Jun 01 $5 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 89% −$609
crypto 11% −$40
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL TheMongolz 64¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 56¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 58¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 62¢ $5 6h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 60¢ $5 6h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 66¢ $5 7h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 51¢ $5 7h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 51¢ $5 8h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 60¢ $5 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $0 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $4 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $4 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 8h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 SELL Under 53¢ $5 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $4 9h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 57¢ $5 9h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 54¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $5 9h
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? SELL No 49¢ $4 9h
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? BUY No 61¢ $5 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 9h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes SELL Hurricanes 45¢ $4 9h
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? SELL Yes 45¢ $4 15h
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? BUY Yes 53¢ $5 15h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 59¢ $5 15h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 77¢ $6 15h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) SELL Natus Vincere 44¢ $4 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-15.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 -6.6% -15.5% 21% 11% -16.5%
≤30d 164 -6.5% -15.4% 17% 7% -15.8%
≤90d 427 -6.2% -15.1% 19% 6% -16.2%
all 745 -6.6% -15.5% 26% 12% -16.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.5% 12% -16.8%
10% ← realistic here -23.6% 9% -24.8%
15% -30.9% 6% -32.1%
20% -37.7% 4% -38.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.92 · official $9.92 (match) · 3500 history records