Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:38:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9B
0x9b9d…77de
sports · 191 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$417 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$400 · open −$17
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$604
Realized−$400
Unrealized−$17
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses86 / 85
Est. fees paid−$88
Open positions20
Markets (closed)171 / 191
Avg bet$40
Trades / day59.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 20 History 171 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$111
7 days−$384
14 days−$400
30 days−$400
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 46¢ 52¢ $203 $226 +$23 (+11%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Spirit 61¢ 60¢ $121 $119 −$2 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 73¢ 94¢ $61 $79 +$17 (+28%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 56¢ 56¢ $29 $29 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FURIA 65¢ 63¢ $27 $26 −$1 (-2%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 Over 91¢ 90¢ $21 $21 −$0 (-1%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Hanwha Life Esports 74¢ 48¢ $23 $15 −$8 (-35%)
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Caty McNally 99¢ 100¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 48¢ 48¢ $14 $14 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Qatar 69¢ 66¢ $10 $9 −$0 (-4%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes 25¢ 38¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+54%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 24¢ 37¢ $5 $7 +$3 (+54%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 Under 49¢ 46¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-6%)
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis David Jorda Sanchis 89¢ 96¢ $5 $6 +$0 (+8%)
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 97¢ 96¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 61¢ 60¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Zhizhen Zhang 44¢ 46¢ $4 $5 +$0 (+5%)
ITF Varnamo: Henry Bernet vs Noah Schlagenhauf Henry Bernet 56¢ 74¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+31%)
ITF kiseljak: Vladyslav Orlov vs Alen Mujakic Alen Mujakic 26¢ 38¢ $2 $4 +$1 (+48%)
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group B DXA Esports 76¢ 62¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-18%)
ITF Kayseri: Laurence Teunissen vs Haydar Cem Gokpinar Laurence Teunissen 23¢ 2¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-93%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 61¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Arthur Rinderknech 5¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka Viktoria Morvayova 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 162.5 Under 51¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Marie Mettraux vs Anja Stankovic Jun 12 $9 −$9 -99%
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
ITF Maanshan: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Thanapet Chanta Jun 12 $11 +$22 +206%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $147 −$27 -18%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $25 −$6 -22%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $4 +$1 +32%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $3 +$2 +60%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $6 +$1 +13%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $18 +$1 +4%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +32%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $8 −$7 -98%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $20 +$7 +36%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $32 −$28 -90%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 164.5 Jun 12 $10 +$9 +93%
Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $8 −$8 -98%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $313 +$100 +32%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $53 +$4 +8%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $301 +$17 +6%
ITF Los Angeles: Marcel Latak vs Nathan Trouve Jun 11 $8 +$1 +7%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2 +$1 +62%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $62 −$61 -98%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $28 +$13 +46%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $74 −$35 -48%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $25 −$17 -70%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $25 +$8 +34%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $113 −$64 -57%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $13 −$1 -5%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $21 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $32 −$5 -14%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $50 +$65 +130%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $17 +$4 +26%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $2 $0 +3%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $7 +$6 +83%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $20 +$9 +46%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $7 −$7 -98%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 12.5 Jun 11 $14 −$14 -99%
Valorant: Oasis Gaming vs BOOM Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $85 −$48 -56%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $6 −$2 -38%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Lucie Havlickova vs Jana Kovackova Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
ITF Wichita: Pavle Marinkov vs Duncan Chan Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Valorant: Oasis Gaming vs BOOM Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $64 +$16 +25%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $6 +$5 +79%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2 −$1 -97%
ITF Guimaraes: Angelina Voloshchuk vs Aliona Falei Jun 11 $5 $0 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 82% −$340
other 17% −$80
politics 0% $0
world 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 BUY DXA Esports 76¢ $4 8m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 48¢ $7 11m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 93¢ $5 13m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 52¢ $16 17m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 52¢ $8 19m
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis BUY David Jorda Sanchis 89¢ $5 19m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 88¢ $8 19m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 48¢ $14 21m
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra BUY Caty McNally 99¢ $8 26m
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra BUY Caty McNally 99¢ $7 27m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 24¢ $5 30m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 52¢ $10 35m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 85¢ $11 37m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 62¢ $8 40m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 79¢ $15 44m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 22¢ $5 46m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 66¢ $10 49m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 71¢ $5 50m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 71¢ $5 50m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 61¢ $29 51m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 65¢ $17 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 28¢ $7 1h
ITF Kayseri: Laurence Teunissen vs Haydar Cem Gokpinar BUY Laurence Teunissen 23¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 61¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 65¢ $7 1h
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Zhizhen Zhang 44¢ $4 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 91¢ $5 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 35¢ $27 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 91¢ $6 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 66¢ $8 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-16.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 158 -6.4% -15.3% 50% 44% -14.6%
≤30d 171 -8.2% -16.9% 50% 43% -14.8%
≤90d 171 -8.2% -16.9% 50% 43% -14.8%
all 171 -8.2% -16.9% 50% 43% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover59.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.9% 43% -14.8%
10% ← realistic here -24.9% 40% -22.9%
15% -32.1% 33% -30.4%
20% -38.8% 27% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $603.53 · official $603.53 (match) · 570 history records