trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 17 | -9.0% | -17.7% | 53% | 53% | -0.4% |
| ≤30d | 18 | -4.5% | -13.6% | 56% | 56% | +5.4% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -4.5% | -13.6% | 56% | 56% | +5.4% |
| all | 31 | -18.5% | -26.2% | 48% | 48% | -5.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -26.2% | 48% | -5.6% |
| 10% | -33.3% | 42% | -14.6% |
| 15% | -39.7% | 35% | -22.9% |
| 20% | -45.7% | 23% | -30.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 3.5 | Under | 79¢ | 80¢ | $80 | $81 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 1 Canada? | Yes | 15¢ | 14¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 2 Canada? | Yes | 13¢ | 12¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 2 Canada? | Yes | 11¢ | 10¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-5%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 28 | $30 | +$20 | +67% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 28 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $10 | +$4 | +42% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5 | Jun 26 | $20 | +$11 | +52% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $10 | +$11 | +111% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $30 | +$17 | +57% |
| Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) | Jun 26 | $20 | +$6 | +31% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Uzbekistan? | Jun 24 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Jun 23 | $40 | +$18 | +45% |
| Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Uzbekistan? | Jun 23 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $63 | +$54 | +86% |
| France vs. Iraq: France O/U 2.5 | Jun 23 | $10 | +$5 | +48% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $41 | −$16 | -38% |
| Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Pla | Jun 21 | $81 | −$43 | -54% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $46 | +$33 | +73% |
| UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card) | Nov 16 | $65 | +$7 | +12% |
| UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) | Nov 15 | $59 | −$59 | -100% |
| LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1) | Oct 18 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) | Oct 17 | $82 | +$32 | +39% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? | Oct 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| LoL: PSG Talon vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1) | Oct 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Fnatic (BO1) | Oct 17 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) | Oct 17 | $80 | −$80 | -100% |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Top Esports (BO3) | Oct 17 | $125 | −$96 | -76% |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Gen.G (BO1) | Oct 16 | $114 | +$108 | +94% |
| LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) | Oct 14 | $161 | +$46 | +29% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Nov 06 | $435 | −$29 | -7% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Nov 06 | $657 | +$116 | +18% |