Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:31:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9B
0x9bb5…0f28
crypto · 14 markets active 4h ago
0.0score
−$18 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$8 · open −$26
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$162
Realized+$8
Unrealized−$26
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses1 / 4
Open positions9
Markets (closed)5 / 14
History coverage3d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day15.3
Drawdown3%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 9 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$8
14 days+$8
30 days+$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? Yes 68¢ 100¢ $25 $37 +$12 (+47%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? Yes 71¢ 100¢ $20 $28 +$8 (+41%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? Yes 69¢ 95¢ $15 $21 +$6 (+37%)
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 18? Yes 95¢ 92¢ $15 $14 −$1 (-4%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? Yes 71¢ 99¢ $10 $14 +$4 (+40%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 16? Yes 69¢ 92¢ $10 $13 +$3 (+33%)
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 12? Yes 87¢ 100¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+15%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14? Yes 75¢ 98¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+31%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 15? Yes 87¢ 98¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+13%)
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 14? Yes 89¢ 98¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+10%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 16? No 32¢ $10 $2 −$8 (-75%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 15? No 13¢ $10 $1 −$9 (-89%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? No 29¢ $5 $1 −$4 (-82%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14? No 25¢ $10 $1 −$9 (-94%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? No 23¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-95%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 16? Jun 10 $5 $0 -5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? Jun 10 $21 +$8 +40%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 10? Jun 10 $5 $0 -2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 16? Jun 10 $5 $0 -2%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 11? Jun 10 $5 $0 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 18? BUY Yes 95¢ $5 3h
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 18? BUY Yes 95¢ $5 3h
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 18? BUY Yes 95¢ $5 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 16? SELL No 96¢ $5 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 68¢ $5 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 66¢ $5 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 65¢ $5 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 64¢ $5 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 68¢ $5 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 15? BUY Yes 87¢ $5 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 16? BUY No 99¢ $5 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 67¢ $5 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? BUY Yes 70¢ $5 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? BUY Yes 69¢ $5 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? BUY Yes 68¢ $5 2d
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 12? BUY Yes 86¢ $5 2d
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 12? BUY Yes 88¢ $5 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 10? SELL Yes 98¢ $5 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 16? SELL No 99¢ $5 2d
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 11? SELL Yes 99¢ $5 2d
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 11? BUY Yes 99¢ $5 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 16? BUY No 100¢ $5 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 75¢ $5 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? BUY Yes 78¢ $5 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 16? BUY No 33¢ $5 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 15? BUY No 14¢ $5 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 16? BUY No 32¢ $5 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? BUY No 29¢ $5 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 16? BUY Yes 70¢ $5 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 71¢ $5 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-4.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +6.2% -4.0% 20% 20% +7.7%
≤30d 5 +6.2% -4.0% 20% 20% +7.7%
≤90d 5 +6.2% -4.0% 20% 20% +7.7%
all 5 +6.2% -4.0% 20% 20% +7.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -4.0% 20% +7.7%
10% -13.1% 20% -2.6%
15% -21.5% 20% -12.0%
20% -29.2% 0% -20.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $162.13 · official $162.13 (match) · 39 history records