Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:25:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9B
0x9bc1…028a
crypto · 693 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$162 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$160 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$160
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses377 / 310
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions2
Markets (closed)687 / 693
History coverage46d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day45.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 2 History 687 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days−$1
14 days−$56
30 days−$114
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 10¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-96%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay? Yes $1 $0 −$1 (-96%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 25¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 45¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brøndby IF 0 - 1 FC København? Yes 11¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 38¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-02? Yes 11¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 63¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-05-16? Yes 50¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: GAIS 2 - 1 Kalmar FF? Yes 11¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 77¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 52¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brentford FC 3 - 1 West Ham United FC? Yes $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Villarreal CF 3 - 2 Sevilla FC? Yes $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: SC Corinthians Paulista 2 - 0 CA Platense? Yes 14¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 29¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Magic vs. Pistons Magic 11¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Northern Ireland? Yes 15¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 63¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Elise Mertens Elise Mertens 72¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Exact Score: CA Peñarol 1 - 2 SC Corinthians Paulista? Yes $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 63¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 35¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 3 - 0 Real Oviedo? Yes 11¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Jeremy Doku: Anytime Goalscorer Yes 30¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +18%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? AND Will United Jun 13 $2 +$11 +547%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$7 +677%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$7 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% −$214
sports 7% +$61
other 5% −$5
world 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 31m
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? AND Will United SELL 87¢ $13 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 2h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 4h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay? BUY Yes $1 4h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY 13¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 118 +2.5% -7.3% 67% 51% -9.7%
≤30d 564 -4.1% -13.2% 61% 44% -12.4%
≤90d 687 -2.2% -11.5% 55% 41% -13.2%
all 687 -2.2% -11.5% 55% 41% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover45.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.5% 41% -13.2%
10% ← realistic here -20.0% 28% -21.5%
15% -27.7% 17% -29.1%
20% -34.8% 13% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.08 · official $3.08 · 2162 history records