Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:06:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9B
0x9bcf…efde
crypto · 391 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$21 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,376 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$29
Realized−$3,376
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses347 / 266
Open positions1
Markets (closed)613 / 391
History coverage95d
Avg bet$79
Trades / day29.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 613 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,179
7 days−$2,755
14 days−$2,755
30 days−$2,755
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 49¢ 100¢ $14 $28 +$14 (+103%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 62¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+62%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 28¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+258%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-98%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$16 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$6 +2024%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$89 -213%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $72 −$146 -204%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$15 -12976%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$20 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $79 −$79 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$19 -140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$9 -174%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$3 +1043%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$5 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $37 −$84 -224%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $23 +$190 +807%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $27 −$29 -108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $35 +$15 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$6 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$39 -149%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $32 +$16 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $24 −$21 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$34 +6771%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$51 +196%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $96 −$149 -155%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$47 +41101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$28 -136%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$20 -201%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$4 +267%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$20 -292%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$3 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$9 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$35 -229%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$36 -526%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$57 +1638%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $62 −$129 -209%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$16 +2421%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $79 −$162 -205%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $71 −$66 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $22 +$43 +191%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$7 -4088%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $23 −$57 -245%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$13 -356%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$23 -107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $29 −$64 -224%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$77 +861%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$19 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $41 −$38 -92%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$551
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $14 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $0 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $10 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $13 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $8 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $29 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $24 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $18 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $27 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $27 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $27 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $20 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $14 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $18 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $16 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $7 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)+344.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 455 +422.9% +373.1% 61% 58% -19.5%
≤30d 455 +422.9% +373.1% 61% 58% -19.5%
≤90d 455 +422.9% +373.1% 61% 58% -19.5%
all 613 +390.8% +344.1% 57% 49% -13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +344.1% 49% -13.3%
10% ← realistic here +301.6% 48% -21.6%
15% +262.8% 47% -29.1%
20% +227.2% 46% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $29.11 · official $29.90 (match) · 3500 history records