Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:35:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9B 0x9bd1…ec63 crypto 825 markets active 3h ago coverage 44d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$144 (-7%) realized −$144 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR31%break-even
Win rate32%262W / 563L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day28.1pace
Fees−$15est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days+$2
14 days−$25
30 days−$189
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 67% −$26
sports 29% −$160
other 2% +$3
politics 1% −$1
world 1% −$5
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 127 +11.4% +0.8% 35% 35% -8.8%
≤30d 825 +0.5% -9.1% 32% 31% -17.4%
≤90d 825 +0.5% -9.1% 32% 31% -17.4%
all 825 +0.5% -9.1% 32% 31% -17.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover28.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.1% 31% -17.4%
10% ← realistic here -17.8% 30% -25.3%
15% -25.7% 29% -32.6%
20% -33.0% 28% -39.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -9% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt -9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late +7% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$2 · ×1.78 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.83 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

44d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$144
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses262 / 563
Est. fees paid−$15
Open positions0
Markets (closed)825 / 825
History coverage44d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day28.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 825 Trades
no open positions (469 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$4 +252%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$3 +140%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$3 +228%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$6 +529%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$3 +181%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$4 +208%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$3 +158%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$5 +490%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$7 +190%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$5 +116%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$5 +226%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$4 +207%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$6 +173%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$3 +181%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +32%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +166%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 23h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 23h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 25h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 29h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 30h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 35h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 35h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 35h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 36h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 36h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 37h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 37h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 38h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 39h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 40h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1537 history records