Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:18:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9B
0x9be1…9947
sports · 93 markets active 0h ago
3.0score
+$42 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$134 · open −$87
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$600
Realized+$134
Unrealized−$87
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses42 / 23
Est. fees paid−$14
Open positions28
Markets (closed)65 / 93
History coverage11d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day19.7
Drawdown68%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 28 History 65 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$138
7 days+$128
14 days+$134
30 days+$134
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $102 $101 −$1 (-1%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 96¢ 88¢ $100 $91 −$9 (-9%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Spirit 75¢ 74¢ $85 $85 −$1 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 69¢ 88¢ $52 $67 +$15 (+28%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? No 77¢ 76¢ $34 $34 −$0 (-1%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Team Vitality 53¢ 52¢ $31 $30 −$1 (-3%)
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31? No 58¢ 76¢ $23 $30 +$7 (+30%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Over 59¢ 56¢ $31 $29 −$1 (-4%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 54¢ 54¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Over 69¢ 68¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jiri Lehecka 54¢ 54¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Chicago White Sox 61¢ 48¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-21%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 Over 55¢ 57¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+5%)
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 Under 59¢ 62¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Under 74¢ 74¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets New York Mets 52¢ 54¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians 53¢ 54¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Los Angeles Dodgers 58¢ 58¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays 51¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Haiti 65¢ 64¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 84¢ 84¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? No 87¢ 84¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 80¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 70¢ 68¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Seattle Mariners 58¢ 56¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $54 +$29 +54%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $5 +$1 +27%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Czechia leading at halftime? Jun 12 $10 +$3 +30%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $10 +$2 +17%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $16 +$13 +82%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $98 +$63 +64%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $52 −$51 -98%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $41 −$41 -98%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $16 +$14 +92%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $16 +$13 +86%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $31 +$7 +24%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $10 +$7 +69%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $17 +$12 +72%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $5 +$5 +89%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $5 +$2 +39%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $103 +$63 +61%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $5 +$3 +56%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) Jun 11 $5 +$2 +45%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $5 +$4 +82%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $5 +$4 +82%
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $8 −$8 -100%
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $98 +$22 +22%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $6 +$4 +72%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Mexico leading at halftime? Jun 11 $16 −$15 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Alexis Vega: 2+ shots Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2 +$1 +72%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $103 +$18 +18%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $5 +$2 +37%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 11 $4 +$4 +92%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $5 +$4 +78%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 12.5 Jun 11 $3 +$1 +32%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 11 $5 +$4 +69%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +39%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $3 +$2 +64%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 10 $4 −$4 -98%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 10 $3 −$3 -98%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $4 $0 +2%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $5 +$5 +92%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $3 −$3 -98%
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5) Jun 10 $4 −$4 -98%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $5 +$3 +67%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 10 $5 $0 -8%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $1 +$1 +82%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 69% +$124
other 19% −$69
world 9% −$8
weather 3% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 77¢ $5 4m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 77¢ $5 13m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Toronto Blue Jays 51¢ $5 31m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 54¢ $5 47m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 54¢ $5 47m
Edin Džeko: 1+ goals BUY No 83¢ $5 1h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 58¢ $5 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 70¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 75¢ $86 1h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Seattle Mariners 58¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 62¢ $19 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 63¢ $6 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 62¢ $5 3h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 66¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 70¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 67¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 68¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 68¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 59¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 67¢ $3 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 67¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 59¢ $6 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 59¢ $5 3h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Under 74¢ $5 3h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Cleveland Guardians 53¢ $5 3h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 69¢ $5 3h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 55¢ $5 3h
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 78¢ $5 4h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 60¢ $5 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-8.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 62 +0.6% -9.0% 63% 56% +2.8%
≤30d 65 +1.2% -8.4% 65% 57% +2.4%
≤90d 65 +1.2% -8.4% 65% 57% +2.4%
all 65 +1.2% -8.4% 65% 57% +2.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.4% 57% +2.4%
10% -17.2% 51% -7.4%
15% -25.2% 43% -16.4%
20% -32.5% 37% -24.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $599.84 · official $588.80 · 251 history records