trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -4.6% | -13.7% | 50% | 50% | +5.9% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +24.9% | +13.0% | 67% | 67% | +35.1% |
| ≤90d | 6 | +24.9% | +13.0% | 67% | 67% | +35.1% |
| all | 7 | +7.1% | -3.1% | 57% | 57% | +33.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -3.1% | 57% | +33.2% |
| 10% | -12.4% | 57% | +20.5% |
| 15% | -20.8% | 57% | +8.8% |
| 20% | -28.6% | 57% | -1.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? | Yes | 44¢ | 44¢ | $50 | $49 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June? | Yes | 40¢ | 53¢ | $30 | $40 | +$10 (+33%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | No | 58¢ | 55¢ | $30 | $28 | −$2 (-6%) |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | Yes | 39¢ | 35¢ | $30 | $27 | −$3 (-10%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on | Jun 24 | $51 | +$26 | +50% |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | Jun 20 | $18 | −$14 | -81% |
| Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $19 | −$15 | -78% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June? | Jun 17 | $25 | +$23 | +90% |
| Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | Jun 14 | $63 | +$63 | +101% |
| Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe | Jun 12 | $25 | +$17 | +67% |
| Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 11 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |