Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T23:25:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
9B 0x9bff…e37c crypto 1631 markets active 0h ago coverage 31d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 30d only
✗ bot/MM pace (61 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$1,588 (+7%) realized +$1,588 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR71%break-even
Win rate71%1159W / 472L
Drawdown34%max
Avg bet$14per market
Trades / day60.6pace
Kalshi-fit93%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$116
7 days−$184
14 days+$149
30 days+$566
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 95% +$563
other 5% +$68
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (61 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +71%
net ROI/market (all)-7.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 329 -1.3% -10.7% 69% 69% -12.0%
≤30d 1590 +2.0% -7.7% 71% 71% -7.3%
≤90d 1631 +2.6% -7.2% 71% 71% -7.0%
all 1631 +2.6% -7.2% 71% 71% -7.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover60.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.2% 71% -7.0%
10% ← realistic here -16.1% 71% -15.9%
15% -24.2% 33% -24.1%
20% -31.6% 19% -31.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +3% · $-wt +3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +5% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$13 · ×0.45 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.1 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

31d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized+$1,588
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses1159 / 472
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1631 / 1631
History coverage31d ⚠
Avg bet$14
Trades / day60.6
Drawdown34%
Kalshi-fit93%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1631 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 25 $36 +$9 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 25 $35 −$35 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 25 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 25 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 25 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 25 $36 +$9 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 25 $6 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 25 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 25 $4 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 25 $5 +$2 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 25 $36 +$9 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 25 $5 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 25 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 25 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 25 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 25 $35 +$10 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 25 $6 +$2 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 25 $5 +$3 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 25 $33 +$12 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 25 $34 +$11 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 25 $31 +$14 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 25 $6 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 25 $33 +$12 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 25 $6 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 25 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 25 $36 +$9 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 25 $32 +$13 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 25 $4 +$3 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 25 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 25 $35 +$10 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 25 $32 +$13 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 25 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 25 $25 +$20 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 25 $31 +$14 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 25 $5 +$3 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 24 $5 +$3 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 24 $6 +$2 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 24 $4 +$4 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 24 $33 +$12 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 24 $3 +$1 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 24 $6 +$2 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 24 $5 +$2 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 24 $6 +$2 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 24 $28 +$17 +59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 24 $4 +$4 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $8 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $11 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $12 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $35 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $28 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $6 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $31 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $30 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $29 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $26 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $27 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $34 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $6 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $35 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $34 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $33 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $31 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $6 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $33 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.79 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records