trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $278 | $264 | −$14 (-5%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 8¢ | $250 | $249 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 11¢ | $200 | $195 | −$5 (-2%) |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $100 | $96 | −$4 (-4%) |
| Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winner | MIBR | 21¢ | 0¢ | $639 | $0 | −$639 (-100%) |
| Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 Winner | B8 | 19¢ | 0¢ | $514 | $0 | −$514 (-100%) |
| Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner | M80 | 35¢ | 0¢ | $1,000 | $0 | −$1,000 (-100%) |
| Will Niger win on 2026-06-08? | Yes | 26¢ | 0¢ | $684 | $0 | −$684 (-100%) |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner | Vitality | 17¢ | 0¢ | $1,500 | $0 | −$1,500 (-100%) |
| Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage | NRG | 11¢ | 0¢ | $269 | $0 | −$269 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $4,988 | +$9,265 | +186% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $5,005 | +$5,568 | +111% |
| Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner | Jun 12 | $975 | −$975 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 | Jun 12 | $938 | −$938 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 | Jun 12 | $467 | −$467 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner | Jun 12 | $2,034 | −$2,034 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 | Jun 12 | $1,026 | −$1,026 | -100% |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI | Jun 12 | $2,641 | −$2,641 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner | Jun 12 | $2,021 | −$2,021 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 12 | $5,487 | −$2,294 | -42% |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner | Jun 12 | $3,222 | −$3,222 | -100% |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Jun 12 | $3,367 | −$3,367 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner | Jun 12 | $1,537 | −$1,500 | -98% |
| Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta | Jun 08 | $276 | −$269 | -97% |
| Will Niger win on 2026-06-08? | Jun 08 | $699 | −$684 | -98% |
| Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner | Jun 08 | $1,019 | −$1,000 | -98% |
| Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner | Jun 08 | $2,029 | +$1,927 | +95% |
| Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winner | Jun 08 | $654 | −$639 | -98% |
| Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner | Jun 08 | $1,529 | +$2,598 | +170% |
| Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 Winner | Jun 08 | $527 | −$514 | -98% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 20 | -49.0% | -53.9% | 20% | 20% | -19.0% |
| ≤30d | 20 | -49.0% | -53.9% | 20% | 20% | -19.0% |
| ≤90d | 20 | -49.0% | -53.9% | 20% | 20% | -19.0% |
| all | 20 | -49.0% | -53.9% | 20% | 20% | -19.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -53.9% | 20% | -19.0% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -58.3% | 20% | -26.8% |
| 15% | -62.3% | 20% | -33.8% |
| 20% | -66.0% | 20% | -40.3% |